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Mutual information has been successfully adopted in filter feature-selection methods to assess both the relevancy of a subset of features in predicting the target variable and the redundancy with respect to other variables. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-18 Mario Beraha , Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini , Andrea Tirinzoni , Marcello Restelli

Image-based precision medicine aims to personalize treatment decisions based on an individual's unique imaging features so as to improve their clinical outcome. Machine learning frameworks that integrate uncertainty estimation as part of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-11 Joshua Durso-Finley , Jean-Pierre Falet , Raghav Mehta , Douglas L. Arnold , Nick Pawlowski , Tal Arbel

Bayesian approach, as a useful tool for quantifying uncertainties, has been widely used for solving inverse problems of partial differential equations (PDEs). One of the key difficulties for employing Bayesian approach for the issue is how…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Qian Zhao , Zongben Xu , Deyu Meng , Yee Leung

Generalized Bayes posterior distributions are formed by putting a fractional power on the likelihood before combining with the prior via Bayes's formula. This fractional power, which is often viewed as a remedy for potential model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Pei-Shien Wu , Ryan Martin

In causal estimation problems, the parameter of interest is often only partially identified, implying that the parameter cannot be recovered exactly, even with infinite data. Here, we study Bayesian inference for partially identified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-26 Jiajing Zheng , Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

In binary-transaction data-mining, traditional frequent itemset mining often produces results which are not straightforward to interpret. To overcome this problem, probability models are often used to produce more compact and conclusive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-09-27 Ruefei He , Jonathan Shapiro

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model --- are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Integrative analyses based on statistically relevant associations between genomics and a wealth of intermediary phenotypes (such as imaging) provide vital insights into their clinical relevance in terms of the disease mechanisms. Estimates…

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-23 G. Revillon , A. Djafari , C. Enderli

Misleading or unnecessary data can have out-sized impacts on the health or accuracy of Machine Learning (ML) models. We present a Bayesian sequential selection method, akin to Bayesian experimental design, that identifies critically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Ethan Pickering , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

The Bayesian statistical paradigm uses the language of probability to express uncertainty about the phenomena that generate observed data. Probability distributions thus characterize Bayesian analysis, with the rules of probability used to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier , Christian P. Robert

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

Some machine learning applications require continual learning - where data comes in a sequence of datasets, each is used for training and then permanently discarded. From a Bayesian perspective, continual learning seems straightforward:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-19 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal

Bayesian modelling allows for the quantification of predictive uncertainty which is crucial in safety-critical applications. Yet for many machine learning (ML) algorithms, it is difficult to construct or implement their Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) are increasingly used in healthcare due to their ability to model complex temporal relationships in patient data while maintaining interpretability, an essential feature for clinical decision-making.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Federico Pirola , Fabio Stella , Marco Grzegorczyk

We consider Bayesian estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, using a Dirichlet prior. Acknowledging the uncertainty of the event space size $m$ and the Dirichlet prior's concentration parameter $c$, we treat both as random…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-20 David H. Wolpert , Simon DeDeo

We describe a method for Bayesian optimization by which one may incorporate data from multiple systems whose quantitative interrelationships are unknown a priori. All general (nonreal-valued) features of the systems are associated with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-06 Steven Atkinson , Sayan Ghosh , Natarajan Chennimalai-Kumar , Genghis Khan , Liping Wang

The "rare type match problem" is the situation in which the suspect's DNA profile, matching the DNA profile of the crime stain, is not in the database of reference. The evaluation of this match in the light of the two competing hypotheses…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-30 Giulia Cereda , Richard D. Gill