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相关论文: Theoretical Analyses of Cross-Validation Error and…

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Despite ongoing theoretical research on cross-validation (CV), many theoretical questions remain widely open. This motivates our investigation into how properties of algorithm-distribution pairs can affect the choice for the number of folds…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

Vote-boosting is a sequential ensemble learning method in which the individual classifiers are built on different weighted versions of the training data. To build a new classifier, the weight of each training instance is determined in terms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-22 Maryam Sabzevari , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz , Alberto Suárez

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

We consider prediction in multiple studies with potential differences in the relationships between predictors and outcomes. Our objective is to integrate data from multiple studies to develop prediction models for unseen studies. We propose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Boyu Ren , Prasad Patil , Francesca Dominici , Giovanni Parmigiani , Lorenzo Trippa

When selecting a classification algorithm to be applied to a particular problem, one has to simultaneously select the best algorithm for that dataset \emph{and} the best set of hyperparameters for the chosen model. The usual approach is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-26 Jacques Wainer , Gavin Cawley

We pose a fundamental question in computational learning theory: can we efficiently test whether a training set satisfies the assumptions of a given noise model? This question has remained unaddressed despite decades of research on learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Surbhi Goel , Adam R. Klivans , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Arsen Vasilyan

In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for stable predictors in the context of risk assessment. The notion of stability has been first introduced by \cite{DEWA79}…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-11-24 Matthieu Cornec

Used to estimate the risk of an estimator or to perform model selection, cross-validation is a widespread strategy because of its simplicity and its apparent universality. Many results exist on the model selection performances of…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

This paper presents the first general (supervised) statistical learning framework for point processes in general spaces. Our approach is based on the combination of two new concepts, which we define in the paper: i) bivariate innovations,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-03 Ottmar Cronie , Mehdi Moradi , Christophe A. N. Biscio

Cross-validation is frequently used for model selection in a variety of applications. However, it is difficult to apply cross-validation to mixed effects models (including nonlinear mixed effects models or NLME models) due to the fact that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-24 Emily Colby , Eric Bair

Cross validation is a central tool in evaluating the performance of machine learning and statistical models. However, despite its ubiquitous role, its theoretical properties are still not well understood. We study the asymptotic properties…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-30 Morgane Austern , Wenda Zhou

Cross-validation techniques for risk estimation and model selection are widely used in statistics and machine learning. However, the understanding of the theoretical properties of learning via model selection with cross-validation risk…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Diego Marcondes , Cláudia Peixoto

Predictive models ground many state-of-the-art developments in statistical brain image analysis: decoding, MVPA, searchlight, or extraction of biomarkers. The principled approach to establish their validity and usefulness is…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2017-06-26 Gaël Varoquaux

Cross-validation is a useful and generally applicable technique often employed in machine learning, including decision tree induction. An important disadvantage of straightforward implementation of the technique is its computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Hendrik Blockeel , Jan Struyf

Cross-validation (CV) is one of the most widely used techniques in statistical learning for estimating the test error of a model, but its behavior is not yet fully understood. It has been shown that standard confidence intervals for test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-10 Min Woo Sun , Robert Tibshirani

We study estimator selection and hyper-parameter tuning in off-policy evaluation. Although cross-validation is the most popular method for model selection in supervised learning, off-policy evaluation relies mostly on theory, which provides…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Matej Cief , Branislav Kveton , Michal Kompan

Pre-validation is a way to build prediction model with two datasets of significantly different feature dimensions. Previous work showed that the asymptotic distribution of the resulting test statistic for the pre-validated predictor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Jing Shang , Sourav Chatterjee , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards