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An approach to fault isolation that exploits vastly incomplete models is presented. It relies on separate descriptions of each component behavior, together with the links between them, which enables focusing of the reasoning to the relevant…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Didier Cayrac , Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

Energy systems optimisation models are a leading tool for informing decisions in the energy transition. However, these models often remain opaque, and results are frequently presented without a clear discussion of their epistemic…

Model-Based Diagnosis deals with the identification of the real cause of a system's malfunction based on a formal system model and observations of the system behavior. When a malfunction is detected, there is usually not enough information…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-11-16 Patrick Rodler , Wolfgang Schmid , Konstantin Schekotihin

An important goal common to domain adaptation and causal inference is to make accurate predictions when the distributions for the source (or training) domain(s) and target (or test) domain(s) differ. In many cases, these different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-31 Sara Magliacane , Thijs van Ommen , Tom Claassen , Stephan Bongers , Philip Versteeg , Joris M. Mooij

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

Stochastic resetting models diverse phenomena across numerous scientific disciplines. Current understanding stems from the renewal framework, which relates systems subject to global resetting to their non-resetting counterparts. Yet, in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-03-10 Asaf Miron , Shlomi Reuveni

In this work, we present our various contributions to the objective of building a decision support tool for the diagnosis of rare diseases. Our goal is to achieve a state of knowledge where the uncertainty about the patient's disease is…

Local explanation frameworks aim to rationalize particular decisions made by a black-box prediction model. Existing techniques are often restricted to a specific type of predictor or based on input saliency, which may be undesirably…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-12 Brandon Carter , Jonas Mueller , Siddhartha Jain , David Gifford

Traditional model-based diagnosis relies on constructing explicit system models, a process that can be laborious and expertise-demanding. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that combines concepts of model-based diagnosis with deep…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-11 Jan Lukas Augustin , Oliver Niggemann

A change points detection aims to catch an abrupt disorder in data distribution. Common approaches assume that there are only two fixed distributions for data: one before and another after a change point. Real-world data are richer than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-18 Alexander Stepikin , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

Due to unmeasured confounding, it is often not possible to identify causal effects from a postulated model. Nevertheless, we can ask for partial identification, which usually boils down to finding upper and lower bounds of a causal quantity…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-01 Jakob Zeitler , Ricardo Silva

Local causal discovery is of great practical significance, as there are often situations where the discovery of the global causal structure is unnecessary, and the interest lies solely on a single target variable. Most existing local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Haoyue Dai , Ignavier Ng , Yujia Zheng , Zhengqing Gao , Kun Zhang

We propose a new method of discovering causal structures, based on the detection of local, spontaneous changes in the underlying data-generating model. We analyze the classes of structures that are equivalent relative to a stream of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

Causal inference and model interpretability research are gaining increasing attention, especially in the domains of healthcare and bioinformatics. Despite recent successes in this field, decorrelating features under nonlinear environments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Junda Wang , Weijian Li , Han Wang , Hanjia Lyu , Caroline Thirukumaran , Addisu Mesfin , Jiebo Luo

We propose a new method called localized conformal prediction, where we can perform conformal inference using only a local region around a new test sample to construct its confidence interval. Localized conformal inference is a natural…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-08 Leying Guan

Most traditional models of uncertainty have focused on the associational relationship among variables as captured by conditional dependence. In order to successfully manage intelligent systems for decision making, however, we must be able…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Heckerman , Ross D. Shachter

This paper proposes a unified theoretical model to identify and test a comprehensive set of probabilistic updating biases within a single framework. The model achieves separate identification by focusing on the updating of belief…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-27 Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez

Limited resources motivate decomposing large-scale problems into smaller,``local" subsystems and stitching together the so-found solutions. We explore the physics underlying this approach and discuss the concept of ``local hardness", i.e.,…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-12-24 Mutian Shen , Gerardo Ortiz , Zhiqiao Dong , Martin Weigel , Zohar Nussinov

Identifying variables responsible for changes to a biological system enables applications in drug target discovery and cell engineering. Given a pair of observational and interventional datasets, the goal is to isolate the subset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Menghua Wu , Umesh Padia , Sean H. Murphy , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Concept drift -- the change of the distribution over time -- poses significant challenges for learning systems and is of central interest for monitoring. Understanding drift is thus paramount, and drift localization -- determining which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer