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In Bayesian statistics, the choice of prior distribution is often debatable, especially if prior knowledge is limited or data are scarce. In imprecise probability, sets of priors are used to accurately model and reflect prior knowledge.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-25 Gero Walter , Frank P. A. Coolen

This paper studies the role played by identification in the Bayesian analysis of statistical and econometric models. First, for unidentified models we demonstrate that there are situations where the introduction of a non-degenerate prior…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-20 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

We introduce a scalable Bayesian preference learning method for identifying convincing arguments in the absence of gold-standard rat- ings or rankings. In contrast to previous work, we avoid the need for separate methods to perform quality…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-06-08 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Fitted probabilities from widely used Bayesian multinomial probit models can depend strongly on the choice of a base category, which is used to uniquely identify the parameters of the model. This paper proposes a novel identification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Lane F. Burgette , David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn

When dealing with Bayesian inference the choice of the prior often remains a debatable question. Empirical Bayes methods offer a data-driven solution to this problem by estimating the prior itself from an ensemble of data. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Ilja Klebanov , Alexander Sikorski , Christof Schütte , Susanna Röblitz

While there have been a lot of recent developments in the context of Bayesian model selection and variable selection for high dimensional linear models, there is not much work in the presence of change point in literature, unlike the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Nilabja Guha , Jyotishka Datta

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

This study presents a Bayesian learning perspective towards model predictive control algorithms. High-level frameworks have been developed separately in the earlier studies on Bayesian learning and sampling-based model predictive control.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-14 Namhoon Cho , Seokwon Lee , Hyo-Sang Shin , Antonios Tsourdos

Finding the model that best describes a high-dimensional dataset is a daunting task, even more so if one aims to consider all possible high-order patterns of the data, going beyond pairwise models. For binary data, we show that this task…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Clélia de Mulatier , Matteo Marsili

Additive nonparametric regression models provide an attractive tool for variable selection in high dimensions when the relationship between the response and predictors is complex. They offer greater flexibility compared to parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Garret Vo , Debdeep Pati

Inferring the value of a property of a large stochastic system is a difficult task when the number of samples is insufficient to reliably estimate the probability distribution. The Bayesian estimator of the property of interest requires the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-01-26 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Empirical Bayes is a versatile approach to `learn from a lot' in two ways: first, from a large number of variables and second, from a potentially large amount of prior information, e.g. stored in public repositories. We review applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-19 Mark A. van de Wiel , Dennis E. te Beest , Magnus Münch

We study adaptive querying for learning user-dependent quantities of interest, such as responses to held-out items and psychometric indicators, within tight question budgets. Classical Bayesian design and computerized adaptive testing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Kaizheng Wang , Yuhang Wu , Assaf Zeevi

We propose a Bayesian approach to learn discriminative dictionaries for sparse representation of data. The proposed approach infers probability distributions over the atoms of a discriminative dictionary using a Beta Process. It also…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-03-30 Naveed Akhtar , Faisal Shafait , Ajmal Mian

We pursue tractable Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models (GLMs) for categorical data. Thus far, GLMs are difficult to scale to more than a few dozen categories due to non-conjugacy or strong posterior dependencies when using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Michael T. Wojnowicz , Shuchin Aeron , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes

We introduce an algorithm which, in the context of nonlinear regression on vector-valued explanatory variables, chooses those combinations of vector components that provide best prediction. The algorithm devotes particular attention to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-03 Frédéric Ferraty , Peter Hall