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We address the problem of uncertainty calibration and introduce a novel calibration method, Parametrized Temperature Scaling (PTS). Standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, which can be transformed into…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Christian Tomani , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Uncertainty estimation is a significant issue for current large language models (LLMs) that are generally poorly calibrated and over-confident, especially with reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). Unlike humans, whose…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Ruixin Yang , Dheeraj Rajagopal , Shirley Anugrah Hayati , Bin Hu , Dongyeop Kang

This paper introduces a framework for post-processing machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy multi-group fairness guarantees. Based on the celebrated notion of multicalibration, we introduce $(\mathbf{s},\mathcal{G},…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-06 Lujing Zhang , Aaron Roth , Linjun Zhang

Multi-class classification methods that produce sets of probabilistic classifiers, such as ensemble learning methods, are able to model aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatoric uncertainty is then typically quantified via the Bayes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-20 Thomas Mortier , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Stijn Luca , Willem Waegeman

Machine Reading Comprehension(MRC) has achieved a remarkable result since some powerful models, such as BERT, are proposed. However, these models are not robust enough and vulnerable to adversarial input perturbation and generalization…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-25 Jing Jin , Houfeng Wang

As vision-language models (VLMs) are increasingly deployed in clinical decision support, more than accuracy is required: knowing when to trust their predictions is equally critical. Yet, a comprehensive and systematic investigation into the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Ji Young Byun , Young-Jin Park , Jean-Philippe Corbeil , Asma Ben Abacha

Reliable long-horizon value prediction is difficult in offline reinforcement learning because fitted value methods combine bootstrapping, function approximation, and distribution shift, while standard guarantees often require Bellman…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Lars van der Laan , Nathan Kallus

With the rapid advancement in the performance of deep neural networks (DNNs), there has been significant interest in deploying and incorporating artificial intelligence (AI) systems into real-world scenarios. However, many DNNs lack the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-18 Mijoo Kim , Junseok Kwon

This paper investigates novel classifier ensemble techniques for uncertainty calibration applied to various deep neural networks for image classification. We evaluate both accuracy and calibration metrics, focusing on Expected Calibration…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Michael Schulze , Nikolas Ebert , Laurenz Reichardt , Oliver Wasenmüller

In this paper, we study the post-hoc calibration of modern neural networks, a problem that has drawn a lot of attention in recent years. Many calibration methods of varying complexity have been proposed for the task, but there is no…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-02 Sergio A. Balanya , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Ramos

Metaheuristic algorithms are essential for solving complex optimization problems in different fields. However, the difficulty in comparing and rating these algorithms remains due to the wide range of performance metrics and problem…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Evgenia-Maria K. Goula , Dimitris G. Sotiropoulos

Deep neural network(DNN) based classifiers do extremely well in discriminating between observations, resulting in higher ROC AUC and accuracy metrics, but their outputs are often miscalibrated with respect to true event likelihoods.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Dhruv Nigam

Camera calibration involves estimating camera parameters to infer geometric features from captured sequences, which is crucial for computer vision and robotics. However, conventional calibration is laborious and requires dedicated…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Kang Liao , Lang Nie , Shujuan Huang , Chunyu Lin , Jing Zhang , Yao Zhao , Moncef Gabbouj , Dacheng Tao

Continual Learning (CL) focuses on maximizing the predictive performance of a model across a non-stationary stream of data. Unfortunately, CL models tend to forget previous knowledge, thus often underperforming when compared with an offline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Lanpei Li , Elia Piccoli , Andrea Cossu , Davide Bacciu , Vincenzo Lomonaco

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

Reliable uncertainty estimation for 3D object detection is critical for deploying safe autonomous systems, yet modern detectors remain poorly calibrated, especially under distribution shifts. Although post-hoc calibration methods address…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Till Beemelmanns , Alexey Nekrasov , Stefan Vilceanu , Jonas Steinhaus , Timo Woopen , Bastian Leibe , Lutz Eckstein

Ranking models are extensively used in e-commerce for relevance estimation. These models often suffer from poor interpretability and no scale calibration, particularly when trained with typical ranking loss functions. This paper addresses…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Piotr Bajger , Roman Dusek , Krzysztof Galias , Paweł Młyniec , Aleksander Wawer , Paweł Zawistowski

Deep learning has revolutionized modern data science. However, how to accurately quantify the uncertainty of predictions from large-scale deep neural networks (DNNs) remains an unresolved issue. To address this issue, we introduce a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Yan Sun , Faming Liang

Reliable probabilities are critical in high-risk applications, yet common calibration criteria (confidence, class-wise) are only necessary for full distributional calibration, and post-hoc methods often lack distribution-free guarantees. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Daniil Kazantsev , Mohsen Guizani , Eric Moulines , Maxim Panov , Nikita Kotelevskii

In today's AI-assisted software engineering landscape, developers increasingly depend on LLMs that are highly capable, yet inherently imperfect. The tendency of these models to produce incorrect outputs can reduce developer productivity. To…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Hong Yi Lin , Chunhua Liu , Haoyu Gao , Patanamon Thongtanunam , Christoph Treude