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Predicting company growth is a critical yet challenging task because observed dynamics blend an underlying structural growth trend with volatile fluctuations. Here, we propose a Scaling-Theory-Informed Machine Learning (STIML) framework…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Ruyi Tao , Veronica R. Cappelli , Kaiwei Liu , Marcus J. Hamilton , Christopher P. Kempes , Geoffrey B. Wes , Jiang Zhang

On e-commerce platforms, predicting if two products are compatible with each other is an important functionality to achieve trustworthy product recommendation and search experience for consumers. However, accurately predicting product…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-29 Rongzhi Zhang , Rebecca West , Xiquan Cui , Chao Zhang

Despite deep learning's success in chemistry, its impact is hindered by a lack of interpretability and an inability to resolve activity cliffs, where minor structural nuances trigger drastic property shifts. Current representation learning,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Xiangsen Chen , Ruilong Wu , Yanyan Lan , Ting Ma , Yang Liu

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Rules could be an information extraction (IE) default option, compared to ML and LLMs in terms of sustainability, transferability, interpretability, and development burden. We suggest a sustainable and combined use of rules and ML as an IE…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Guillaume Bazin , Xavier Tannier , Fanny Adda , Ariel Cohen , Akram Redjdal , Emmanuelle Kempf

Parallel accelerators, such as GPUs, are key enablers for large-scale Machine Learning (ML) applications. However, ML model developers often lack detailed knowledge of the underlying system architectures, while system programmers usually do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Jhe-Yu Liou , Stephanie Forrest , Carole-Jean Wu

Optimization modeling via mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) is fundamental to industrial planning and scheduling, yet translating natural-language requirements into solver-executable models and maintaining them under evolving business…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Yiliu He , Tianle Li , Binghao Ji , Zhiyuan Liu , Di Huang

Online leading has disrupted the traditional consumer banking sector with more effective loan processing. Risk prediction and monitoring is critical for the success of the business model. Traditional credit score models fall short in…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-07-18 Xiaojiao Yu

Lending decisions are usually made with proprietary models that provide minimally acceptable explanations to users. In a future world without such secrecy, what decision support tools would one want to use for justified lending decisions?…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-07 Chaofan Chen , Kangcheng Lin , Cynthia Rudin , Yaron Shaposhnik , Sijia Wang , Tong Wang

[Context] The increasing adoption of machine learning (ML) in software systems demands specialized ideation approaches that address ML-specific challenges, including data dependencies, technical feasibility, and alignment between business…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Silvio Alonso , Antonio Pedro Santos Alves , Lucas Romao , Hélio Lopes , Marcos Kalinowski

There exists a range of different models for estimating and simulating credit risk transitions to optimally manage credit risk portfolios and products. In this chapter we present a Coupled Markov Chain approach to model rating transitions…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-01-21 Ronald Hochreiter , David Wozabal

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) language models can reduce computational costs by 2-4$\times$ compared to dense models without sacrificing performance, making them more efficient in computation-bounded scenarios. However, MoE models generally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Bowen Pan , Yikang Shen , Haokun Liu , Mayank Mishra , Gaoyuan Zhang , Aude Oliva , Colin Raffel , Rameswar Panda

This paper presents a novel Darwinian Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) methodology formacroeconomic forecasting that leverages evolutionary principles to achieve remarkablecomputational efficiency and emergent realism. Unlike conventional DSGE…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-24 Martin Jaraiz

Prediction Rule Ensembles (PREs) are robust and interpretable statistical learning techniques with potential for predictive analytics, yet their efficacy in the presence of missing data is untested. This study uses multiple imputation to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Vincent Schroeder , Jakob Schwerter , Marjolein Fokkema , Philipp Doebler

This paper proposes DeepRule, an integrated framework for automated business rule generation in retail assortment and pricing optimization. Addressing the systematic misalignment between existing theoretical models and real-world economic…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Yusen Wu , Xiaotie Deng

Large language models (LLMs) have been increasingly applied to tasks in language understanding and interactive decision-making, with their impressive performance largely attributed to the extensive domain knowledge embedded within them.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Zhiyuan Sun , Haochen Shi , Marc-Alexandre Côté , Glen Berseth , Xingdi Yuan , Bang Liu

We introduce EVIL (\textbf{EV}olving \textbf{I}nterpretable algorithms with \textbf{L}LMs), an approach that uses LLM-guided evolutionary search to discover simple, interpretable algorithms for dynamical systems inference. Rather than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 David Berghaus

Tree ensembles are widely used in industrial machine learning due to their strong predictive performance and efficient training procedures. However, as the number of trees in an ensemble grows, the resulting models become increasingly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Josue Obregon

Financial metrics like the Sharpe ratio are pivotal in evaluating investment performance by balancing risk and return. However, traditional metrics often struggle with robustness and generalization, particularly in dynamic and volatile…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-05 Kamer Ali Yuksel , Hassan Sawaf

We build a 167-indicator comprehensive credit risk indicator set, integrating macro, corporate financial, bond-specific indicators, and for the first time, 30 large-scale corporate non-financial indicators. We use seven machine learning…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-24 Yanran Wu , Xinlei Zhang , Quanyi Xu , Qianxin Yang , Chao Zhang