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Reachability computations that rely on learned or estimated models require calibration in order to uphold confidence about their guarantees. Calibration generally involves sampling scenarios inside the reachable set. However, producing…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-27 Sampada Deglurkar , Ebonye Smith , Jingqi Li , Claire J. Tomlin

Querying incomplete knowledge graphs with neural predictors is powerful but dangerous. Errors compound across multi-hop pipelines with no formal bound on the completeness of results. We introduce ConRAD, the first framework to enforce…

Conformal prediction (CP) offers a principled framework for uncertainty quantification, but it fails to guarantee coverage when faced with missing covariates. In addressing the heterogeneity induced by various missing patterns,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Jiarong Fan , Juhyun Park. Thi Phuong Thuy Vo , Nicolas Brunel

Recent advances in retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) have shown promise in enhancing recommendation systems with external knowledge. However, existing RAG-based recommenders face two critical challenges: (1) vulnerability to distribution…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Sebastian Sun

Predictions in the form of sets of probability distributions, so-called credal sets, provide a suitable means to represent a learner's epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a theoretically grounded approach to credal prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Felix Mohr , Eyke Hüllermeier

Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for the trustworthiness of machine learning applications. Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) offers a distribution-free framework for generating prediction sets or intervals with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 A. A. Balinsky , A. D. Balinsky

Multi-hop question answering (QA) requires models to retrieve and reason over multiple pieces of evidence. While Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) has made progress in this area, existing methods often suffer from two key limitations:…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Yuelyu Ji , Rui Meng , Zhuochun Li , Daqing He

Conformal predictive systems allow forecasters to issue predictive distributions for real-valued future outcomes that have out-of-sample calibration guarantees. On a more abstract level, conformal prediction makes use of in-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Sam Allen , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Alexander Henzi , Gian-Reto Kleger , Johanna Ziegel

When answering complex questions, large language models (LLMs) may produce answers that do not satisfy all criteria of the question. While existing self-evaluation techniques aim to detect if such answers are correct, these techniques are…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Nishant Balepur , Jie Huang , Samraj Moorjani , Hari Sundaram , Kevin Chen-Chuan Chang

Confident prediction is highly relevant in machine learning; for example, in applications such as medical diagnoses, wrong prediction can be fatal. For classification, there already exist procedures that allow to not classify data when the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

Large Vision Language Models (LVLMs) achieve strong multimodal reasoning but frequently exhibit hallucinations and incorrect responses with high certainty, which hinders their usage in high-stakes domains. Existing verbalized confidence…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Wenyi Xiao , Xinchi Xu , Leilei Gan

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Sacha Braun , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

While accurate and user-friendly Computer-Aided Design (CAD) is crucial for industrial design and manufacturing, existing methods still struggle to achieve this due to their over-simplified representations or architectures incapable of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Jianyu Wu , Yizhou Wang , Xiangyu Yue , Xinzhu Ma , Jingyang Guo , Dongzhan Zhou , Wanli Ouyang , Shixiang Tang

Monocular Metric Depth Estimation (MMDE) is essential for physically intelligent systems, yet accurate depth estimation for underrepresented classes in complex scenes remains a persistent challenge. To address this, we propose RAD, a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Michael Baltaxe , Dan Levi , Sagie Benaim

Deploying machine learning models in safety-related do-mains (e.g. autonomous driving, medical diagnosis) demands for approaches that are explainable, robust against adversarial attacks and aware of the model uncertainty. Recent deep…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-14 Jan Kronenberger , Anselm Haselhoff

To use generative question-and-answering (QA) systems for decision-making and in any critical application, these systems need to provide well-calibrated confidence scores that reflect the correctness of their answers. Existing calibration…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Putra Manggala , Atalanti Mastakouri , Elke Kirschbaum , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan , Aaditya Ramdas

Machine unlearning in neural information retrieval (IR) systems requires removing specific data whilst maintaining model performance. Applying existing machine unlearning methods to IR may compromise retrieval effectiveness or inadvertently…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-07-25 Jingrui Hou , Axel Finke , Georgina Cosma

Distilling multi-step reasoning abilities from large language models (LLMs) into compact student models remains challenging due to noisy rationales, hallucinated supervision, and static teacher-student interactions. Existing reasoning…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Kasidit Sermsri , Teerapong Panboonyuen

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) has proven to be effective in mitigating hallucinations in large language models, yet its effectiveness remains limited in complex, multi-step reasoning scenarios. Recent efforts have incorporated…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-29 Wenda Wei , Yu-An Liu , Ruqing Zhang , Jiafeng Guo , Lixin Su , Shuaiqiang Wang , Dawei Yin , Maarten de Rijke , Xueqi Cheng

Confidence calibration is essential for making large language models (LLMs) reliable, yet existing training-free methods have been primarily studied under single-answer question answering. In this paper, we show that these methods break…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Yuhan Wang , Shiyu Ni , Zhikai Ding , Zihang Zhan , Yuanzi Li , Keping Bi
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