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Normalized random measures (NRMs) provide a broad class of discrete random measures that are often used as priors for Bayesian nonparametric models. Dirichlet process is a well-known example of NRMs. Most of posterior inference methods for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-19 Juho Lee , Seungjin Choi

Human decisional processes result from the employment of selected quantities of relevant information, generally synthesized from environmental incoming data and stored memories. Their main goal is the production of an appropriate and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-09-08 Graziano Barnabei , Franco Bagnoli , Ciro Conversano , Elena Lensi

We present neural mixture distributional regression (NMDR), a holistic framework to estimate complex finite mixtures of distributional regressions defined by flexible additive predictors. Our framework is able to handle a large number of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-15 David Rügamer , Florian Pfisterer , Bernd Bischl

The increasing deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) for critical decision-making amplifies the necessity for trustworthy AI, where uncertainty estimation plays a pivotal role in ensuring trustworthiness. Dropout-based Bayesian Neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Zehuan Zhang , Hongxiang Fan , Hao Mark Chen , Lukasz Dudziak , Wayne Luk

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

We develop a deep learning algorithm for constructing globally accurate approximations to functional rational expectations equilibria of dynamic stochastic economies in the sequence space. We use deep neural networks to parameterize key…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-17 Marlon Azinovic-Yang , Jan Žemlička

We propose a novel deep symbolic regression approach to enhance the robustness and interpretability of data-driven mathematical expression discovery. Our work is aligned with the popular DSR framework which focuses on learning a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Zachary Bastiani , Robert M. Kirby , Jacob Hochhalter , Shandian Zhe

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-22 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir

Beta regression has been extensively used by statisticians and practitioners to model bounded continuous data and there is no strong and similar competitor having its main features. A class of normalized inverse-Gaussian (N-IG) process was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-12 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Vinícius D. Mayrink , Alexandre B. Simas

Symbolic regression (SR) is a powerful technique for discovering the underlying mathematical expressions from observed data. Inspired by the success of deep learning, recent deep generative SR methods have shown promising results. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Wenqiang Li , Weijun Li , Lina Yu , Min Wu , Linjun Sun , Jingyi Liu , Yanjie Li , Shu Wei , Yusong Deng , Meilan Hao

In binary-transaction data-mining, traditional frequent itemset mining often produces results which are not straightforward to interpret. To overcome this problem, probability models are often used to produce more compact and conclusive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-09-27 Ruefei He , Jonathan Shapiro

Sequential recommendations have made great strides in accurately predicting the future behavior of users. However, seeking accuracy alone may bring side effects such as unfair and overspecialized recommendation results. In this work, we…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Jiayi Chen , Wen Wu , Liye Shi , Yu Ji , Wenxin Hu , Wei Zheng , Liang He

Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Nick Pawlowski , Andrew Brock , Matthew C. H. Lee , Martin Rajchl , Ben Glocker

We propose a neural-network based survival model (SurvSurf) specifically designed for direct and simultaneous probabilistic prediction of the first hitting time of sequential events from baseline. Unlike existing models, SurvSurf is…

Traditionally, Referring Expression Generation (REG) models first decide on the form and then on the content of references to discourse entities in text, typically relying on features such as salience and grammatical function. In this…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-05-22 Thiago Castro Ferreira , Diego Moussallem , Ákos Kádár , Sander Wubben , Emiel Krahmer

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) have recently emerged in the Deep Learning world for dealing with uncertainty estimation in classification tasks, and are used in many application domains such as astrophysics, autonomous driving...BNN assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-04 Claire Theobald , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro , Amedeo Napoli

Researchers often treat data-driven and theory-driven models as two disparate or even conflicting methods in travel behavior analysis. However, the two methods are highly complementary because data-driven methods are more predictive but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-23 Shenhao Wang , Baichuan Mo , Jinhua Zhao

We study the problem of certifying the robustness of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) to adversarial input perturbations. Given a compact set of input points $T \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m$ and a set of output points $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-26 Matthew Wicker , Andrea Patane , Luca Laurenti , Marta Kwiatkowska

Existing end-to-end autonomous driving models rely heavily on purely data-driven inductive reasoning. This "black-box" nature leads to a lack of interpretability and absolute safety guarantees in complex, long-tail scenarios. To overcome…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Hongyan Wei , Wael AbdAlmageed