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Stock market forecasting has been a topic of extensive research, aiming to provide investors with optimal stock recommendations for higher returns. In recent years, this field has gained even more attention due to the widespread adoption of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-17 Igor L. R. Azevedo , Toyotaro Suzumura

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-08 John Phan , Hung-Fu Chang

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

This paper explores using a deep learning Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model for accurate stock price prediction and its implications for portfolio design. Despite the efficient market hypothesis suggesting that predicting stock prices is…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-16 Jaydip Sen , Hetvi Waghela , Sneha Rakshit

With the volatile and complex nature of financial data influenced by external factors, forecasting the stock market is challenging. Traditional models such as ARIMA and GARCH perform well with linear data but struggle with non-linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Prashant Pilla , Raji Mekonen

In this work, we present our findings and experiments for stock-market prediction using various textual sentiment analysis tools, such as mood analysis and event extraction, as well as prediction models, such as LSTMs and specific…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-01-22 Jordan Prosky , Xingyou Song , Andrew Tan , Michael Zhao

This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

We summarized both common and novel predictive models used for stock price prediction and combined them with technical indices, fundamental characteristics and text-based sentiment data to predict S&P stock prices. A 66.18% accuracy in S&P…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Shan Zhong , David B. Hitchcock

For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

Stock market prediction is a long-standing challenge in finance, as accurate forecasts support informed investment decisions. Traditional models rely mainly on historical prices, but recent work shows that financial news can provide useful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Nader Sadek , Mirette Moawad , Christina Naguib , Mariam Elzahaby

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

In this paper, we tackle the challenge of predicting stock movements in financial markets by introducing Higher Order Transformers, a novel architecture designed for processing multivariate time-series data. We extend the self-attention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Soroush Omranpour , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

To answer this question, we fine-tune transformer-based language models, including BERT, on different sources of company-related text data for a classification task to predict the one-year stock price performance. We use three different…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-07 Stefan Pasch , Daniel Ehnes

In the realm of financial analytics, leveraging unstructured data, such as earnings conference calls (ECCs), to forecast stock volatility is a critical challenge that has attracted both academics and investors. While previous studies have…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Yupeng Cao , Zhi Chen , Qingyun Pei , Nathan Jinseok Lee , K. P. Subbalakshmi , Papa Momar Ndiaye

Trend-following strategies underpin many systematic trading approaches yet struggle under nonstationary and nonlinear market regimes. We propose an LSTM-based framework to forecast next-day trend differences ($\Delta_t$) for the top 30 S\&P…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-03-17 Harris Buchanan , Eric Benhamou

This study explores the comparative performance of cutting-edge AI models, i.e., Finaance Bidirectional Encoder representations from Transsformers (FinBERT), Generatice Pre-trained Transformer GPT-4, and Logistic Regression, for sentiment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-11 Olamilekan Shobayo , Sidikat Adeyemi-Longe , Olusogo Popoola , Bayode Ogunleye

Financial sentiment analysis (FSA) has attracted significant attention, and recent studies increasingly explore large language models (LLMs) for this field. Yet most work evaluates only classification metrics, leaving unclear whether…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-17 Zijian Zhang , Rong Fu , Yangfan He , Xinze Shen , Yanlong Wang , Xiaojing Du , Haochen You , Jiazhao Shi , Simon Fong

Prediction models are crucial in the stock market as they aid in forecasting future prices and trends, enabling investors to make informed decisions and manage risks more effectively. In the Indian stock market, where volatility is often…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-24 Omkar Oak , Rukmini Nazre , Rujuta Budke , Yogita Mahatekar

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta