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Conformal inference is a method that provides prediction sets for machine learning models, operating independently of the underlying distributional assumptions and relying solely on the exchangeability of training and test data. Despite its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-01 Daniela Corbetta , Livio Finos , Ludwig Geistlinger , Davide Risso

The determination of sample size in qualitative research has traditionally relied on the subjective and often ambiguous principle of data saturation, which can lead to inconsistencies and threaten methodological rigor. This study introduces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Hasan Tutar , Caner Erden , Ümit Şentürk

In recent years, semidefinite relaxations of common optimization problems in robotics have attracted growing attention due to their ability to provide globally optimal solutions. In many cases, it was shown that specific handcrafted…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Frederike Dümbgen , Connor Holmes , Ben Agro , Timothy D. Barfoot

This paper provides a statistical method to test whether a system that performs a binary sequential hypothesis test is optimal in the sense of minimizing the average decision times while taking decisions with given reliabilities. The…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-01-08 Meik Dörpinghaus , Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

With the increasing size of today's data sets, finding the right parameter configuration in model selection via cross-validation can be an extremely time-consuming task. In this paper we propose an improved cross-validation procedure which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-02-05 Tammo Krueger , Danny Panknin , Mikio Braun

Sparse methods are the standard approach to obtain interpretable models with high prediction accuracy. Alternatively, algorithmic ensemble methods can achieve higher prediction accuracy at the cost of loss of interpretability. However, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Anthony Christidis , Stefan Van Aelst , Ruben Zamar

Uncertainty estimation is critical in high-stakes machine learning applications. One effective way to estimate uncertainty is conformal prediction, which can provide predictive inference with statistical coverage guarantees. We present a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Nathaniel Diamant , Ehsan Hajiramezanali , Tommaso Biancalani , Gabriele Scalia

The most widely used internal measure for clustering evaluation is the silhouette coefficient, whose naive computation requires a quadratic number of distance calculations, which is clearly unfeasible for massive datasets. Surprisingly,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Federico Altieri , Andrea Pietracaprina , Geppino Pucci , Fabio Vandin

When testing for superiority in a parallel-group setting with a continuous outcome, adjusting for covariates (e.g., baseline measurements) is usually recommended, in order to reduce bias and increase power. For this purpose, the analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Georg Zimmermann , Meinhard Kieser , Arne Bathke

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution has been widely applied in several areas of science and although several methodologies related to this distribution have been proposed, the problem of determining the optimal sample size for estimating its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-27 Eliardo G. Costa , Manoel Santos-Neto

This work advances distribution recovery from sparse data and ensemble classification through three main contributions. First, we introduce a closed-form estimator that reconstructs scaled beta distributions from limited statistics…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Jonathan R. Landers

Model selection in linear regression models is a major challenge when dealing with high-dimensional data where the number of available measurements (sample size) is much smaller than the dimension of the parameter space. Traditional methods…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-05 Prakash B. Gohain , Magnus Jansson

Probabilistic decoding in Large Language Models (LLMs) often yields inconsistent outputs, particularly on complex or long-form questions. Self-Consistency (SC) mitigates this for short-form QA by majority voting over exact strings, whereas…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Jungsuk Oh , Jay-Yoon Lee

Uncertainty quantification, by means of confidence interval (CI) construction, has been a fundamental problem in statistics and also important in risk-aware decision-making. In this paper, we revisit the basic problem of CI construction,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-13 Shengyi He , Henry Lam

Identification of abnormalities in red blood cells (RBC) is key to diagnosing a range of medical conditions from anaemia to liver disease. Currently this is done manually, a time-consuming and subjective process. This paper presents an…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Annika Wong , Nantheera Anantrasirichai , Thanarat H. Chalidabhongse , Duangdao Palasuwan , Attakorn Palasuwan , David Bull

Machine learning (ML) is ubiquitous in modern life. Since it is being deployed in technologies that affect our privacy and safety, it is often crucial to understand the reasoning behind its decisions, warranting the need for explainable AI.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-02-04 Alexey Ignatiev , Edward Lam , Peter J. Stuckey , Joao Marques-Silva

Model calibration is a major challenge faced by the plethora of statistical analytics packages that are increasingly used in Big Data applications. Identifying the optimal model parameters is a time-consuming process that has to be executed…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2015-01-05 Chengjie Qin , Florin Rusu

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is typically used when the likelihood is either unavailable or intractable but where data can be simulated under different parameter settings using a forward model. Despite the recent interest in ABC,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-24 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Taylor Pospisil

The quest for analytical solutions to differential equations has traditionally been constrained by the need for extensive mathematical expertise. Machine learning methods like genetic algorithms have shown promise in this domain, but are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Shu Wei , Yanjie Li , Lina Yu , Weijun Li , Min Wu , Linjun Sun , Jingyi Liu , Hong Qin , Yusong Deng , Jufeng Han , Yan Pang

Conformal prediction (CP) converts any model's output to prediction sets with a guarantee to cover the true label with (adjustable) high probability. Robust CP extends this guarantee to worst-case (adversarial) inputs. Existing baselines…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Aleksandar Bojchevski