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This paper introduces an algorithm for the detection of change-points and the identification of the corresponding subsequences in transient multivariate time-series data (MTSD). The analysis of such data has become more and more important…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-05 Jonas Köhne , Lars Henning , Clemens Gühmann

In time series forecasting, decomposition-based algorithms break aggregate data into meaningful components and are therefore appreciated for their particular advantages in interpretability. Recent algorithms often combine machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Yiqi Sun , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Yongzhi Qi , Hao Hu , Zuojun Max Shen

Distributed stochastic optimization algorithms can simultaneously process large-scale datasets, significantly accelerating model training. However, their effectiveness is often hindered by the sparsity of distributed networks and data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Yuchen Hu , Xi Chen , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao

Many modern computational approaches to classical problems in quantitative finance are formulated as empirical loss minimization (ERM), allowing direct applications of classical results from statistical machine learning. These methods,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-27 A. Max Reppen , H. Mete Soner

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Time-varying optimization problems are prevalent in various engineering fields, and the ability to solve them accurately in real-time is becoming increasingly important. The prediction-correction algorithms used in smooth time-varying…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-12 Hidenori Iwakiri , Tomoya Kamijima , Shinji Ito , Akiko Takeda

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Accurate and high-resolution Earth system model (ESM) simulations are essential to assess the ecological and socio-economic impacts of anthropogenic climate change, but are computationally too expensive to be run at sufficiently high…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-02-27 Philipp Hess , Michael Aich , Baoxiang Pan , Niklas Boers

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial…

Error correction code (ECC) is an integral part of the physical communication layer, ensuring reliable data transfer over noisy channels. Recently, neural decoders have demonstrated their advantage over classical decoding techniques.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-09-28 Yoni Choukroun , Lior Wolf

Recent work has focused on data-driven learning of the evolution of unknown systems via deep neural networks (DNNs), with the goal of conducting long time prediction of the evolution of the unknown system. Training a DNN with low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-28 Victor Churchill , Steve Manns , Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Deep neural networks have become the method of choice for solving many classification tasks, largely because they can fit very complex functions defined over raw data. The downside of such powerful learners is the danger of overfit. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Uri Stern , Daniel Shwartz , Daphna Weinshall

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Deep learning models, particularly Transformers, have achieved impressive results in various domains, including time series forecasting. While existing time series literature primarily focuses on model architecture modifications and data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Valentino Assandri , Sam Heshmati , Burhaneddin Yaman , Anton Iakovlev , Ariel Emiliano Repetur