中文
相关论文

相关论文: KairosHope: A Next-Generation Time-Series Foundati…

200 篇论文

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Accurate trajectory prediction is vital for safe autonomous driving, yet existing approaches struggle to balance modeling power and computational efficiency. Attention-based architectures incur quadratic complexity with increasing agents,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Yizhou Huang , Gengze Jiang , Yihua Cheng , Kezhi Wang

We present STanHop-Net (Sparse Tandem Hopfield Network) for multivariate time series prediction with memory-enhanced capabilities. At the heart of our approach is STanHop, a novel Hopfield-based neural network block, which sparsely learns…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Dennis Wu , Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Weijian Li , Bo-Yu Chen , Han Liu

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

Time Series foundation models (TSFMs) deliver strong forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining, but their large parameter sizes make deployment costly. While knowledge distillation offers a natural and effective approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Yuqi Li , Kuiye Ding , Chuanguang Yang , Szu-Yu Chen , Yingli Tian

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

Data-driven health monitoring of power converters remains limited by poor generalization to unseen operating conditions. This work addresses this out-of-distribution (OOD) challenge by building a domain-specific time-series foundation model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-12 Xinyuan Liao , Xinyue Zhang , Xing Wei , Junwei Liu , Shuai Zhao , Siqi Bu , Yi Zhang

In time series analysis, traditional bootstrapping methods often fall short due to their assumption of data independence, a condition rarely met in time-dependent data. This paper introduces tsbootstrap, a python package designed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-24 Sankalp Gilda , Benedikt Heidrich , Franz Kiraly

Recently reconstruction-based deep models have been widely used for time series anomaly detection, but as their capacity and generalization capability increase, these models tend to over-generalize, often reconstructing unseen anomalies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Samuel Yoon , Jongwon Kim , Juyoung Ha , Young Myoung Ko

The lack of standardization in seizure forecasting slows progress in the field and limits the clinical translation of forecasting models. In this work, we introduce a Python-based framework aimed at streamlining the development, assessment,…

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as general-purpose forecasting models and show considerable potential for applications in energy systems. However, applications in critical infrastructure like power grids require…

Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

In the World Wide Web, reliable time series forecasts provide the forward-looking signals that drive resource planning, cache placement, and anomaly response, enabling platforms to operate efficiently as user behavior and content…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Zheya Wang , Hongxiao Li , Yifan Wang , Lei Wang , Chunjie Luo , Jianfeng Zhan

The success of large-scale pre-training paradigm, exemplified by Large Language Models (LLMs), has inspired the development of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs). However, their application to financial candlestick (K-line) data remains…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-06 Yu Shi , Zongliang Fu , Shuo Chen , Bohan Zhao , Wei Xu , Changshui Zhang , Jian Li

Time series foundational models (TSFM) have gained prominence in time series forecasting, promising state-of-the-art performance across various applications. However, their application in anomaly detection and prediction remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Chathurangi Shyalika , Harleen Kaur Bagga , Ahan Bhatt , Renjith Prasad , Alaa Al Ghazo , Amit Sheth

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt