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Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have emerged as the dominant model for spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting. Despite their success, they fail to model intrinsic uncertainties within STG data, which cripples their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Haomin Wen , Youfang Lin , Yutong Xia , Huaiyu Wan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Yuxuan Liang

Knowledge graph embedding, which aims to learn the low-dimensional representations of entities and relationships, has attracted considerable research efforts recently. However, most knowledge graph embedding methods focus on the structural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-23 Yonghui Xu , Shengjie Sun , Yuan Miao , Dong Yang , Xiaonan Meng , Yi Hu , Ke Wang , Hengjie Song , Chuanyan Miao

We explore whether useful temporal neural generative models can be learned from sequential data without back-propagation through time. We investigate the viability of a more neurocognitively-grounded approach in the context of unsupervised…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-01 Alexander G. Ororbia , Patrick Haffner , David Reitter , C. Lee Giles

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

Human trajectory forecasting is a key component of autonomous vehicles, social-aware robots and advanced video-surveillance applications. This challenging task typically requires knowledge about past motion, the environment and likely…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Luigi Filippo Chiara , Pasquale Coscia , Sourav Das , Simone Calderara , Rita Cucchiara , Lamberto Ballan

Smart grid infrastructure needs improved resilience and preventive maintenance through more accurate predictions. Current methodologies lack accurate representation of spatio-temporal-causal interdependencies and class imbalance in failure…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-07 Anh Le , Phat K. Huynh , Om P. Yadav , Harun Pirim , Chau Le , Trung Q. Le

Spatial-temporal forecasting systems play a crucial role in addressing numerous real-world challenges. In this paper, we investigate the potential of addressing spatial-temporal forecasting problems using general time series forecasting…

Deep models have demonstrated remarkable performance in time series forecasting. However, due to the partially-observed nature of real-world applications, solely focusing on the target of interest, so-called endogenous variables, is usually…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Jiaxiang Dong , Guo Qin , Haoran Zhang , Yong Liu , Yunzhong Qiu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in domains such as transportation, energy, and meteorology. Despite their success, modern deep forecasting models are typically trained to minimize point-wise prediction loss without leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shen Fang , Shuhan Qiu , Chengcheng Yu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

With the emergence of new application areas such as cyber-physical systems and human-in-the-loop applications ensuring a specific level of end-to-end network latency with high reliability (e.g., 99.9%) is becoming increasingly critical. To…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Samie Mostafavi , Gourav Prateek Sharma , Ahmad Traboulsi , James Gross

Nowadays, our mobility systems are evolving into the era of intelligent vehicles that aim to improve road safety. Due to their vulnerability, pedestrians are the users who will benefit the most from these developments. However, predicting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-18 Lina Achaji , Thierno Barry , Thibault Fouqueray , Julien Moreau , Francois Aioun , Francois Charpillet

Monitoring ground displacement is crucial for urban infrastructure stability and mitigating geological hazards. However, forecasting future deformation from sparse Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time-series data remains a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Wendong Yao , Saeed Azadnejad , Binhua Huang , Shane Donohue , Soumyabrata Dev

Subseasonal forecasting, which is pivotal for agriculture, water resource management, and early warning of disasters, faces challenges due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have revolutionized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Semantic segmentation has achieved great success in ideal conditions. However, when facing extreme conditions (e.g., insufficient light, fierce camera motion), most existing methods suffer from significant information loss of RGB, severely…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Nan Bao , Yifan Zhao , Lin Zhu , Jia Li

Accurately estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) in longitudinal settings is essential for personalized decision-making across healthcare, public policy, education, and digital marketing. However, time-varying interventions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Lei Shi , Sizhu Lu , Qiuran Lyu , Peng Ding , Nikos Vlassis

Causal inference on time series data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of unobserved confounders. This work focuses on estimating the causal effect between two time series that are confounded by a third, unobserved time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Felix Schur , Jonas Peters

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Chris Kolb , Nadja Klein

Graph-based next-step prediction models have recently been very successful in modeling complex high-dimensional physical systems on irregular meshes. However, due to their short temporal attention span, these models suffer from error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-27 Xu Han , Han Gao , Tobias Pfaff , Jian-Xun Wang , Li-Ping Liu

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun