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The integration of Fourier transform and deep learning opens new avenues for time series forecasting. We reconsider the Fourier transform from a basis functions perspective. Specifically, the real and imaginary parts of the frequency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Runze Yang , Longbing Cao , Xin You , Kun Fang , Jianxun Li , Jie Yang

Reliable probabilistic production forecasts are required to better manage the uncertainty that the rapid build-out of wind power capacity adds to future energy systems. In this article, we consider sequential methods to correct errors in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Bastian Schmidt Jørgensen , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Peter Nystrup , Henrik Madsen

Real-world data streams can change unpredictably due to distribution shifts, feedback loops and adversarial actors, which challenges the validity of forecasts. We present a forecasting framework ensuring valid uncertainty estimates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

Transformers have revolutionized the point cloud learning task, but the quadratic complexity hinders its extension to long sequence and makes a burden on limited computational resources. The recent advent of RWKV, a fresh breed of deep…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-04 Qingdong He , Jiangning Zhang , Jinlong Peng , Haoyang He , Xiangtai Li , Yabiao Wang , Chengjie Wang

Accurate and reliable air quality forecasting is essential for protecting public health, sustainable development, pollution control, and enhanced urban planning. This letter presents a novel WaveCatBoost architecture designed to forecast…

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

Adaptive time series forecasting is essential for prediction under regime changes. Several classical methods assume linear Gaussian state space model (LGSSM) with variances constant in time. However, there are many real-world processes that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-23 Baptiste Abélès , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintemberger

As time evolves, data within specific domains exhibit predictability that motivates time series forecasting to predict future trends from historical data. However, current deep forecasting methods can achieve promising performance but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Ziran Liang , Rui An , Wenqi Fan , Yanghui Rao , Yuxuan Liang

Accurate and up-to-date forecasting of the power grid's carbon footprint is crucial for effective product carbon footprint (PCF) accounting and informed decarbonization decisions. However, the carbon intensity of the grid exhibits high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Qingzhong Li , Yue Hu , Zhou Long , Qingchang Ma , Hui Ma , Jinhai Sa

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Modular optical switch architectures combining wavelength routing based on arrayed waveguide grating (AWG) devices and multicasting based on star couplers hold promise for flexibly addressing the exponentially growing traffic demands in a…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Kamran Keykhosravi , Houman Rastegarfar , Nasser Peyghambarian , Erik Agrell

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

Accurate multi-step port-of-call sequence prediction is vital for tactical resource orchestration and logistical efficiency. However, existing methods struggle with unreliable voyage schedules and the inability of AIS data to provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Yanzhao Su , Fang He , Yineng Wang

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

Time series forecasting is crucial in many fields, yet current deep learning models struggle with noise, data sparsity, and capturing complex multi-scale patterns. This paper presents MFF-FTNet, a novel framework addressing these challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-27 Yangyang Shi , Qianqian Ren , Yong Liu , Jianguo Sun

Change detection from high-resolution remote sensing images lies as a cornerstone of Earth observation applications, yet its efficacy is often compromised by two critical challenges. First, false alarms are prevalent as models misinterpret…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Zhongxiang Xie , Shuangxi Miao , Yuhan Jiang , Zhewei Zhang , Jing Yao , Xuecao Li , Jianxi Huang , Pedram Ghamisi

Time series forecasting requires capturing patterns across multiple temporal scales while maintaining computational efficiency. This paper introduces AWGformer, a novel architecture that integrates adaptive wavelet decomposition with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Wei Li

The efficacy of Large Language Models (LLMs) in long-context tasks is often hampered by the substantial memory footprint and computational demands of the Key-Value (KV) cache. Current compression strategies, including token eviction and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Runchao Li , Yao Fu , Mu Sheng , Xianxuan Long , Haotian Yu , Pan Li

This study presents a technique for processing Stepfrequency continuous wave (SFCW) ground penetrating radar (GPR) data to detect tree roots. SFCW GPR is portable and enables precise control of energy levels, balancing depth and resolution…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-31 Wenhao Luo , Yee Hui Lee , Mohamed Lokman Mohd Yusof , Abdulkadir C. Yucel

Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun