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Inferring individualised treatment effects from observational data can unlock the potential for targeted interventions. It is, however, hard to infer these effects from observational data. One major problem that can arise is covariate shift…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Damian Machlanski , Spyros Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

Recursive decision trees are widely used to estimate heterogeneous causal treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. These methods are typically implemented using CART-type recursive partitioning and are often viewed as…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Ruiqi Rae Yu

While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

One important problem in microbiome analysis is to identify the bacterial taxa that are associated with a response, where the microbiome data are summarized as the composition of the bacterial taxa at different taxonomic levels. This paper…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-04 Pixu Shi , Anru Zhang , Hongzhe Li

Objective: Social-environmental data obtained from the U.S. Census is an important resource for understanding health disparities, but rarely is the full dataset utilized for analysis. A barrier to incorporating the full data is a lack of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-02 Elizabeth Handorf , Yinuo Yin , Michael Slifker , Shannon Lynch

Uncovering the heterogeneous effects of particular policies or "treatments" is a key concern for researchers and policymakers. A common approach is to report average treatment effects across subgroups based on observable covariates.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-02 Riccardo Di Francesco

We give algorithms for sampling several structured logconcave families to high accuracy. We further develop a reduction framework, inspired by proximal point methods in convex optimization, which bootstraps samplers for regularized…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-10-25 Yin Tat Lee , Ruoqi Shen , Kevin Tian

We introduce an adaptive tree search algorithm, that can find high-scoring outputs under translation models that make no assumptions about the form or structure of the search objective. This algorithm -- a deterministic variant of Monte…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Wang Ling , Wojciech Stokowiec , Domenic Donato , Laurent Sartran , Lei Yu , Austin Matthews , Chris Dyer

Corrupted data sets containing noisy or missing observations are prevalent in various contemporary applications such as economics, finance and bioinformatics. Despite the recent methodological and algorithmic advances in high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-12 J. Wu , Z. Zheng , Y. Li , Y. Zhang

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

Conformal prediction quantifies the uncertainty of machine learning models by augmenting point predictions with valid prediction sets. For complex scenarios involving multiple trials, models, or data sources, conformal prediction sets can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Gina Wong , Drew Prinster , Suchi Saria , Rama Chellappa , Anqi Liu

We develop a finite-sample, design-based theory for random forests in which each tree is a randomized conditional predictor acting on fixed covariates and the forest is their Monte Carlo average. An exact variance identity separates Monte…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Nathaniel S. O'Connell

Tree ensembles are flexible predictive models that can capture relevant variables and to some extent their interactions in a compact and interpretable manner. Most algorithms for obtaining tree ensembles are based on versions of boosting or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-21 Gitesh Dawer , Yangzi Guo , Adrian Barbu

Decision trees are important both as interpretable models amenable to high-stakes decision-making, and as building blocks of ensemble methods such as random forests and gradient boosting. Their statistical properties, however, are not well…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Yan Shuo Tan , Abhineet Agarwal , Bin Yu

Capturing the conditional covariances or correlations among the elements of a multivariate response vector based on covariates is important to various fields including neuroscience, epidemiology and biomedicine. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-12 Cansu Alakus , Denis Larocque , Aurelie Labbe

We consider the problem of estimating and inferring treatment effects in randomized experiments. In practice, stratified randomization, or more generally, covariate-adaptive randomization, is routinely used in the design stage to balance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-27 Hanzhong Liu , Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma

Test-time augmentation -- the aggregation of predictions across transformed versions of a test input -- is a common practice in image classification. Traditionally, predictions are combined using a simple average. In this paper, we present…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Divya Shanmugam , Davis Blalock , Guha Balakrishnan , John Guttag

Model performance is frequently reported only for the overall population under consideration. However, due to heterogeneity, overall performance measures often do not accurately represent model performance within specific subgroups. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Ruotao Zhang , Constantine Gatsonis , Jon Steingrimsson

Data aggregation, also known as meta analysis, is widely used to combine knowledge on parameters shared in common (e.g., average treatment effect) between multiple studies. In this paper, we introduce an attractive data aggregation scheme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jingshen Wang , Xuming He

In many modern applications, including analysis of gene expression and text documents, the data are noisy, high-dimensional, and unordered--with no particular meaning to the given order of the variables. Yet, successful learning is often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-25 Ann B. Lee , Boaz Nadler , Larry Wasserman