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This paper investigates the regret associated with the Distributionally Robust Control (DRC) strategies used to address multistage optimization problems where the involved probability distributions are not known exactly, but rather are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-02 Venkatraman Renganathan , Dongjun Wu

For decision making under uncertainty, min-max regret has been established as a popular methodology to find robust solutions. In this approach, we compare the performance of our solution against the best possible performance had we known…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-25 Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch

Policy learning in modern operations environments faces a fundamental tension between limited operational data and the large, often continuous, state and action spaces over which good decisions must be identified and deployed. We study…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-27 Shengbo Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

One way to make decisions under uncertainty is to select an optimal option from a possible range of options, by maximizing the expected utilities derived from a probability model. However, under severe uncertainty, identifying precise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-06 Nawapon Nakharutai , Sébastien Destercke , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

In practical applications, data is used to make decisions in two steps: estimation and optimization. First, a machine learning model estimates parameters for a structural model relating decisions to outcomes. Second, a decision is chosen to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-28 Samuel Tan , Peter I. Frazier

Several fundamental problems in science and engineering consist of global optimization tasks involving unknown high-dimensional (black-box) functions that map a set of controllable variables to the outcomes of an expensive experiment.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Michael Joly , Robert Yu , Soumalya Sarkar , Paris Perdikaris

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box functions, commonly based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models. Its effectiveness relies on uncertainty quantification that is both sharp…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Teemu Turpeinen , Samuel Kaski

We propose a novel Bayesian optimization (BO) procedure aimed at identifying the ``profile optima'' of a deterministic black-box computer simulation that has a single control parameter and multiple nuisance parameters. The profile optima…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Courtney Kyger , James Fernandez , John A. Grunenwald , James Braun , Annie Booth

Online bilevel optimization (OBO) is a powerful framework for machine learning problems where both outer and inner objectives evolve over time, requiring dynamic updates. Current OBO approaches rely on deterministic \textit{window-smoothed}…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Parvin Nazari , Bojian Hou , Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , Li Shen , George Michailidis

We study how to accelerate Bayesian optimization (BO) on a target task by transferring historical knowledge from related source tasks. Existing work on BO with knowledge transfer either lacks theoretical guarantees or achieves the same…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Haitao Lin , Boxin Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Chong Liu

Regret is the cost of uncertainty in algorithmic decision-making. Quantifying regret typically requires computationally expensive simulation via Sample Average Approximation (SAA), with complexity $\mathcal{O}(Bn^{2}d^{3})$ in the number of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-15 Irene Aldridge

We consider the problem of Bayesian optimization (BO) in one dimension, under a Gaussian process prior and Gaussian sampling noise. We provide a theoretical analysis showing that, under fairly mild technical assumptions on the kernel, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Jonathan Scarlett

This paper investigates the problem of efficient constrained global optimization of hybrid models that are a composition of a known white-box function and an expensive multi-output black-box function subject to noisy observations, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-31 Congwen Lu , Joel A. Paulson

Bayesian optimization (BO) iteratively fits a Gaussian process (GP) surrogate to accumulated evaluations and selects new queries via an acquisition function such as expected improvement (EI). In practice, BO often concentrates evaluations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Jiguang Li , Hengrui Luo

This paper presents a synthesis method for the generalised dynamic regret problem, comparing the performance of a strictly causal controller to the optimal non-causal controller under a weighted disturbance. This framework encompasses both…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-25 Alexandre Didier , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Regret has been widely adopted as the metric of choice for evaluating the performance of online optimization algorithms for distributed, multi-agent systems. However, data/model variations associated with agents can significantly impact…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-22 Zhanhong Jiang , Aditya Balu , Xian Yeow Lee , Young M. Lee , Chinmay Hegde , Soumik Sarkar

We consider estimation and control in linear time-varying dynamical systems from the perspective of regret minimization. Unlike most prior work in this area, we focus on the problem of designing causal estimators and controllers which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-24 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi

We study online learning with bandit feedback (i.e. learner has access to only zeroth-order oracle) where cost/reward functions $\f_t$ admit a "pseudo-1d" structure, i.e. $\f_t(\w) = \loss_t(\pred_t(\w))$ where the output of $\pred_t$ is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Aadirupa Saha , Nagarajan Natarajan , Praneeth Netrapalli , Prateek Jain

We propose a framework which generalizes "decision making with structured observations" by allowing robust (i.e. multivalued) models. In this framework, each model associates each decision with a convex set of probability distributions over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-27 Alexander Appel , Vanessa Kosoy

Inspired by online learning, data-dependent regret has recently been proposed as a criterion for controller design. In the regret-optimal control paradigm, causal controllers are designed to minimize regret against a hypothetical optimal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-09-15 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi