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The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

Discovery problems often require deciding whether additional sampling is needed to detect all categories whose prevalence exceeds a prespecified threshold. We study this question under a Bernoulli product (incidence) model, where categories…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Alessandro Colombi , Mario Beraha , Amichai Painsky , Stefano Favaro

Throughout many fields, practitioners often rely on differential equations to model systems. Yet, for many applications, the theoretical derivation of such equations and/or accurate resolution of their solutions may be intractable. Instead,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-16 Grant Norman , Jacqueline Wentz , Hemanth Kolla , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

Motivated by modern applications such as computerized adaptive testing, sequential rank aggregation, and heterogeneous data source selection, we study the problem of active sequential estimation, which involves adaptively selecting…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-14 Xiaoou Li , Hongru Zhao

Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding between exposure and outcome. An IV must affect the outcome exclusively through the exposure and be unconfounded with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Jordan Penn , Lee M. Gunderson , Gecia Bravo-Hermsdorff , Ricardo Silva , David S. Watson

Feature selection is an important but challenging task in causal inference for obtaining unbiased estimates of causal quantities. Properly selected features in causal inference not only significantly reduce the time required to implement a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-13 Maggie Makar , Fredrik D. Johansson , John Guttag , David Sontag

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental obstacle to establishing valid causal conclusions from observational data. Two complementary types of approaches have been developed to address this obstacle: obtaining identification using fortuitous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Ilya Shpitser , Zach Wood-Doughty , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We study the problem of causal structure learning from a combination of observational and interventional data generated by a linear non-Gaussian structural equation model that might contain cycles. Recent results show that using mere…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Ehsan Sharifian , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

For an optimization problem $\Pi$ on graphs whose solutions are vertex sets, a vertex $v$ is called $c$-essential for $\Pi$ if all solutions of size at most $c \cdot OPT$ contain $v$. Recent work showed that polynomial-time algorithms to…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Bart M. P. Jansen , Ruben F. A. Verhaegh

Given a hypergraph with uncertain node weights following known probability distributions, we study the problem of querying as few nodes as possible until the identity of a node with minimum weight can be determined for each hyperedge.…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-07-02 Evripidis Bampis , Christoph Dürr , Thomas Erlebach , Murilo S. de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

We study the problem of robust information selection for a Bayesian hypothesis testing / classification task, where the goal is to identify the true state of the world from a finite set of hypotheses based on observations from the selected…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Jayanth Bhargav , Shreyas Sundaram , Mahsa Ghasemi

We introduce the \emph{submodular objectives chasing problem}, which generalizes many natural and previously-studied problems: a sequence of constrained submodular maximization problems is revealed over time, with both the objective and…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Niv Buchbinder , Joseph , Naor , David Wajc

Due to unmeasured confounding, it is often not possible to identify causal effects from a postulated model. Nevertheless, we can ask for partial identification, which usually boils down to finding upper and lower bounds of a causal quantity…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-01 Jakob Zeitler , Ricardo Silva

This paper introduces a framework for estimating fair optimal predictions using machine learning where the notion of fairness can be quantified using path-specific causal effects. We use a recently developed approach based on Lagrange…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

The Densest Subgraph Problem (DSP) is widely used to identify community structures and patterns in networks such as bioinformatics and social networks. While solvable in polynomial time, traditional exact algorithms face computational and…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-09-19 Dorit S. Hochbaum , Ayleen Irribarra-Cortés , Olivier Goldschmidt , Roberto Asín-Achá

We explore algorithms to select actions in the causal bandit setting where the learner can choose to intervene on a set of random variables related by a causal graph, and the learner sequentially chooses interventions and observes a sample…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Alan Malek , Virginia Aglietti , Silvia Chiappa

From observational data alone, a causal DAG is only identifiable up to Markov equivalence. Interventional data generally improves identifiability; however, the gain of an intervention strongly depends on the intervention target, that is,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-03 Alain Hauser , Peter Bühlmann

Sequential multi-class diagnosis, also known as multi-hypothesis testing, is a classical sequential decision problem with broad applications. However, the optimal solution remains, in general, unknown as the dynamic program suffers from the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-12-07 Jue Wang

We study parametric inference on a rich class of hazard regression models in the presence of right-censoring. Previous literature has reported some inferential challenges, such as multimodal or flat likelihood surfaces, in this class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-10 F. J. Rubio , J. A. Espindola , J. A. Montoya