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Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

This paper studies the problem of post-hoc calibration of machine learning classifiers. We introduce the following desiderata for uncertainty calibration: (a) accuracy-preserving, (b) data-efficient, and (c) high expressive power. We show…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-01 Jize Zhang , Bhavya Kailkhura , T. Yong-Jin Han

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell

Despite their impressive predictive performance in various computer vision tasks, deep neural networks (DNNs) tend to make overly confident predictions, which hinders their widespread use in safety-critical applications. While there have…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Teodora Popordanoska , Aleksei Tiulpin , Matthew B. Blaschko

Estimating the 6D object pose from a single RGB image often involves noise and indeterminacy due to challenges such as occlusions and cluttered backgrounds. Meanwhile, diffusion models have shown appealing performance in generating…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Li Xu , Haoxuan Qu , Yujun Cai , Jun Liu

Safety-critical 3D scene understanding tasks necessitate not only accurate but also confident predictions from 3D perception models. This study introduces Calib3D, a pioneering effort to benchmark and scrutinize the reliability of 3D scene…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Lingdong Kong , Xiang Xu , Jun Cen , Wenwei Zhang , Liang Pan , Kai Chen , Ziwei Liu

An important paradigm in 3D object detection is the use of multiple modalities to enhance accuracy in both normal and challenging conditions, particularly for long-tail scenarios. To address this, recent studies have explored two directions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Minkyoung Cho , Yulong Cao , Jiachen Sun , Qingzhao Zhang , Marco Pavone , Jeong Joon Park , Heng Yang , Z. Morley Mao

In recent years, much progress has been made in LiDAR-based 3D object detection mainly due to advances in detector architecture designs and availability of large-scale LiDAR datasets. Existing 3D object detectors tend to perform well on the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Eduardo R. Corral-Soto , Alaap Grandhi , Yannis Y. He , Mrigank Rochan , Bingbing Liu

LiDAR-based 3D object detection is a critical technology for the development of autonomous driving and robotics. However, the high cost of data annotation limits its advancement. We propose a novel and effective active learning (AL) method…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-12 Huang-Yu Chen , Jia-Fong Yeh , Jia-Wei Liao , Pin-Hsuan Peng , Winston H. Hsu

Sharing information between connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) fundamentally improves the performance of collaborative object detection for self-driving. However, CAVs still have uncertainties on object detection due to practical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-20 Sanbao Su , Yiming Li , Sihong He , Songyang Han , Chen Feng , Caiwen Ding , Fei Miao

Calibration is crucial in deep learning applications, especially in fields like healthcare and autonomous driving, where accurate confidence estimates are vital for decision-making. However, deep neural networks often suffer from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Linwei Tao , Haolan Guo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

In the realm of modern autonomous driving, the perception system is indispensable for accurately assessing the state of the surrounding environment, thereby enabling informed prediction and planning. The key step to this system is related…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-08-16 Ziying Song , Lin Liu , Feiyang Jia , Yadan Luo , Guoxin Zhang , Lei Yang , Li Wang , Caiyan Jia

Unbiased confidence estimates of neural networks are crucial especially for safety-critical applications. Many methods have been developed to calibrate biased confidence estimates. Though there is a variety of methods for classification,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-15 Fabian Küppers , Jan Kronenberger , Amirhossein Shantia , Anselm Haselhoff

Conjunction assessment requires knowledge of the uncertainty in the predicted orbit. Errors in the atmospheric density are a major source of error in the prediction of low Earth orbits. Therefore, accurate estimation of the density and…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-04-24 David J. Gondelach , Richard Linares

Good 3D object detection performance from LiDAR-Camera sensors demands seamless feature alignment and fusion strategies. We propose the 3DifFusionDet framework in this paper, which structures 3D object detection as a denoising diffusion…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-11-08 Xinhao Xiang , Simon Dräger , Jiawei Zhang

Code language models are increasingly adopted for both understanding and generative tasks. Despite their success, these models frequently produce overconfident incorrect predictions and underconfident correct predictions, undermining their…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Ravishka Rathnasuriya , Wei Yang

Probabilistic methods for point set registration have demonstrated competitive results in recent years. These techniques estimate a probability distribution model of the point clouds. While such a representation has shown promise, it is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Felix Järemo Lawin , Martin Danelljan , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Per-Erik Forssén , Michael Felsberg

Object pose estimation is crucial to robotic perception and typically provides a single-pose estimate. However, a single estimate cannot capture pose uncertainty deriving from visual ambiguity, which can lead to unreliable behavior.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Frederik Hagelskjær , Dimitrios Arapis , Steffen Madsen , Thorbjørn Mosekjær Iversen

Obtaining accurately calibrated redshift distributions of photometric samples is one of the great challenges in photometric surveys like LSST, Euclid, HSC, KiDS, and DES. We present an inference methodology that combines the redshift…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-09 M. M. Rau , C. B. Morrison , S. J. Schmidt , S. Wilson , R. Mandelbaum , Y. Y. Mao

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for robust object detection in autonomous driving. However, previous works on probabilistic object detection either learn predictive probability for bounding box regression in an un-supervised…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer