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相关论文: The Predictive-Causal Gap: An Impossibility Theore…

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Causal discovery is a cornerstone of scientific reasoning, yet whether large language models can perform it reliably remains an open question. Recent benchmarks show that even fine-tuned models plateau on simple causal graphs and degrade as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Amartya Roy , Sonali Parbhoo

Unsupervised representation learning has succeeded with excellent results in many applications. It is an especially powerful tool to learn a good representation of environments with partial or noisy observations. In partially observable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-20 Zhaohan Daniel Guo , Mohammad Gheshlaghi Azar , Bilal Piot , Bernardo A. Pires , Rémi Munos

We study the problem of learning robust acoustic models in adverse environments, characterized by a significant mismatch between training and test conditions. This problem is of paramount importance for the deployment of speech recognition…

声音 · 计算机科学 2022-06-30 Dino Oglic , Zoran Cvetkovic , Peter Sollich , Steve Renals , Bin Yu

We study causal representation learning, the task of inferring latent causal variables and their causal relations from high-dimensional mixtures of the variables. Prior work relies on weak supervision, in the form of counterfactual pre- and…

Mechanistic interpretability has transformed the analysis of transformer circuits by decomposing model behavior into competing algorithms, identifying phase transitions during training, and deriving closed-form predictions for when and why…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Alma Lago

Behavioral cloning reduces policy learning to supervised learning by training a discriminative model to predict expert actions given observations. Such discriminative models are non-causal: the training procedure is unaware of the causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Pim de Haan , Dinesh Jayaraman , Sergey Levine

Deep neural networks do not discriminate between spurious and causal patterns, and will only learn the most predictive ones while ignoring the others. This shortcut learning behaviour is detrimental to a network's ability to generalize to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-11 Thomas Duboudin , Emmanuel Dellandréa , Corentin Abgrall , Gilles Hénaff , Liming Chen

Language prediction is constrained by informational entropy intrinsic to language, such that there exists a limit to how accurate any language model can become and equivalently a lower bound to language compression. The most efficient…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Benjamin L. Badger , Matthew Neligeorge

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Classical Bayesian persuasion assumes that senders fully understand how receivers form beliefs and make decisions--an assumption that rarely holds when receivers possess private information or exhibit non-Bayesian behavior. In this paper,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-11 Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Discovering a unique causal structure is difficult due to both inherent identifiability issues, and the consequences of finite data. As such, uncertainty over causal structures, such as those obtained from a Bayesian posterior, are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-06 Anish Dhir , Matthew Ashman , James Requeima , Mark van der Wilk

As mobile robots are increasingly deployed in human environments, enabling them to predict how people perceive them is critical for socially adaptable navigation. Predicting perceptions is challenging for two main reasons: (1) HRI…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Maximilian Diehl , Nathan Tsoi , Gustavo Chavez , Karinne Ramirez-Amaro , Marynel Vázquez

Many works have investigated radio map and path loss prediction in wireless networks using deep learning, in particular using convolutional neural networks. However, most assume perfect environment information, which is unrealistic in…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-13 Fabian Jaensch , Çağkan Yapar , Giuseppe Caire , Begüm Demir

Progress in probabilistic generative models has accelerated, developing richer models with neural architectures, implicit densities, and with scalable algorithms for their Bayesian inference. However, there has been limited progress in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-31 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Discovering causal structure among a set of variables is a fundamental problem in many domains. However, state-of-the-art methods seldom consider the possibility that the observational data has missing values (incomplete data), which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Xiaoshui Huang , Fujin Zhu , Lois Holloway , Ali Haidar

We study the problem of learning to predict the next state of a dynamical system when the underlying evolution function is unknown. Unlike previous work, we place no parametric assumptions on the dynamical system, and study the problem from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Vinod Raman , Unique Subedi , Ambuj Tewari

Inspired by recent strides in empirical efficacy of implicit learning in many robotics tasks, we seek to understand the theoretical benefits of implicit formulations in the face of nearly discontinuous functions, common characteristics for…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-04-08 Bibit Bianchini , Mathew Halm , Nikolai Matni , Michael Posa

Quantifying the data uncertainty in learning tasks is often done by learning a prediction interval or prediction set of the label given the input. Two commonly desired properties for learned prediction sets are \emph{valid coverage} and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Yingbo Zhou , Caiming Xiong

Animals exhibit an innate ability to learn regularities of the world through interaction. By performing experiments in their environment, they are able to discern the causal factors of variation and infer how they affect the world's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Sumedh A. Sontakke , Arash Mehrjou , Laurent Itti , Bernhard Schölkopf

Representations of the world environment play a crucial role in artificial intelligence. It is often inefficient to conduct reasoning and inference directly in the space of raw sensory representations, such as pixel values of images.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Kenji Kawaguchi , Linjun Zhang , Zhun Deng