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Uncertainty is a key feature of any machine learning model and is particularly important in neural networks, which tend to be overconfident. This overconfidence is worrying under distribution shifts, where the model performance silently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-18 Arthur Thuy , Dries F. Benoit

Knowing the uncertainty in a prediction is critical when making expensive investment decisions and when patient safety is paramount, but machine learning (ML) models in drug discovery typically provide only a single best estimate and ignore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-03 Stanley E. Lazic , Dominic P. Williams

Fuzzy rough feature selection (FRFS) is an effective means of addressing the curse of dimensionality in high-dimensional data. By removing redundant and irrelevant features, FRFS helps mitigate classifier overfitting, enhance generalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Suping Xu , Lin Shang , Keyu Liu , Hengrong Ju , Xibei Yang , Witold Pedrycz

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Control systems operating in the real world face countless sources of unpredictable uncertainties. These random disturbances can render deterministic guarantees inapplicable and cause catastrophic safety failures. To overcome this, this…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-10 Pol Mestres , Blake Werner , Ryan K. Cosner , Aaron D. Ames

This paper introduces a novel nonlinear stochastic model predictive control path integral (MPPI) method, which considers chance constraints on system states. The proposed belief-space stochastic MPPI (BSS-MPPI) applies Monte-Carlo sampling…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-08-16 Ji Yin , Panagiotis Tsiotras , Karl Berntorp

We propose the Uncertainty Contrastive Framework (UCF), a Positive-Unlabeled (PU) representation learning framework that integrates uncertainty-aware contrastive loss, adaptive temperature scaling, and a self-attention-guided LSTM encoder…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Elias Hossain , Umesh Biswas , Charan Gudla , Sai Phani Parsa

Model-based reinforcement learning has the potential to be more sample efficient than model-free approaches. However, existing model-based methods are vulnerable to model bias, which leads to poor generalization and asymptotic performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-27 Tung-Long Vuong , Kenneth Tran

Reinforcement learning is a promising approach to synthesizing policies for challenging robotics tasks. A key problem is how to ensure safety of the learned policy---e.g., that a walking robot does not fall over or that an autonomous car…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Osbert Bastani

Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantly rely on probabilistic models and focus narrowly on task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-21 Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Ahmad Osman , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

Fault diagnosis of mechanical equipment involves data collection, feature extraction, and pattern recognition but is often hindered by the imbalanced nature of industrial data, introducing significant uncertainty and reducing diagnostic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Zhixuan Lian , Shangyu Li , Qixuan Huang , Zijian Huang , Haifei Liu , Jianan Qiu , Puyu Yang , Laifa Tao

Ensuring both safety and stability remains a fundamental challenge in learning-based control, where goal-oriented policies often neglect system constraints and closed-loop state convergence. To address this limitation, this paper introduces…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-31 Yunda Yan , Chenxi Tao , Jinya Su , Cunjia Liu , Shihua Li

Learning-based methods have been successful in solving complex control tasks without significant prior knowledge about the system. However, these methods typically do not provide any safety guarantees, which prevents their use in…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-08 Torsten Koller , Felix Berkenkamp , Matteo Turchetta , Andreas Krause

Dynamic feature selection (DFS) addresses budget constraints in decision-making by sequentially acquiring features for each instance, making it appealing for resource-limited scenarios. However, existing DFS methods require models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Javier Fumanal-Idocin , Raquel Fernandez-Peralta , Javier Andreu-Perez

Jointly extracting entity pairs and their relations is challenging when working on distantly-supervised data with ambiguous or noisy labels. To mitigate such impact, we propose uncertainty-aware bootstrap learning, which is motivated by the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Yufei Li , Xiao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen , Cong Liu

Q-learning facilitates the development of an optimal adaptive treatment strategy through stagewise regression on a pre-specified set of tailoring variables and confounders. Semiparametric robust Q-learning eliminates the residual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Jeremiah Jones , Ashkan Ertefaie , James R. McKay , David W. Oslin , Robert L. Strawderman

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to create a tactical decision-making agent for autonomous driving. However, previous approaches only output decisions and do not provide information about the agent's confidence in the recommended…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-11-04 Carl-Johan Hoel , Krister Wolff , Leo Laine

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay