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Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are crucial components of the hydrological cycle and often produce flash floods. Given their impact, it is crucial to understand how they will change under a warming climate. This study uses a satellite-…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-06-18 Wenjun Cui , Thomas Galarneau , Kimberly Hoogewind

Understanding controls on Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) is critical for predicting rainfall extremes across scales. Spatial variability of soil moisture (SM) presents such a control, with ~200km dry patches in the Sahel observed to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-21 Ben Maybee , Cornelia Klein , Christopher M. Taylor , Helen Burns , John H. Marsham

Rainfall in coastal areas of the tropics is often shaped by the presence of circulations directly associated with the topography, such as land-sea and/or mountain-valley breezes. In many regions the coastally-affected rainfall consitutes…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-05-09 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

Recent research has community have shown that tropical convection and rainfall is sensitive to mid-tropospheric humidity. Therefore it has been suggested to improve the representation of moist convection by making cumulus parameterizations…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-11-27 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a planetary-scale convective system characterized by large-scale envelopes of enhanced and suppressed convection that contain numerous mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). While MCSs are widely…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-04-24 Haobo Yang , Qiu Yang

Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynamics. This uncertainty is addressed here by analyzing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Tristan H. Abbott , Timothy W. Cronin , Tom Beucler

The response of precipitation extremes to climate change is considered using results from theory, modeling, and observations, with a focus on the physical factors that control the response. Observations and simulations with climate models…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-05-05 Paul A. O'Gorman

Moist convection plays a leading role in the dynamics and energy budget of Earth's tropics and influences the sensitivity of Earth's climate to greenhouse gas increases. Because individual convective cells are much smaller than the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-07-26 Anthony D. Del Genio

Teleconnections between the tropical and the extratropical climates are often considered as a potential source of long-term predictability at seasonal to decadal time scales in the extratropics. This claim is taken up in the present work by…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-17 Stephane Vannitsem

Climate change is an impending disaster which is of pressing concern more and more every year. Countless efforts have been made to study the long-term effects of climate change on agriculture, land resources, and biodiversity. Studies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-12 Lynn Wahab , Ezzat Chebaro , Jad Ismail , Amir Nasrelddine , Ali El-Zein

The formation of Middle Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) that are responsible for a large portion of annual precipitation and extreme rainfall events over western India is studied using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm and cyclone…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-16 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler

Coastally associated rainfall is a common feature especially in tropical and subtropical regions. However, it has been difficult to quantify the contribution of coastal rainfall features to the overall local rainfall. We develop a novel…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-10-16 Martin Bergemann , Christian Jakob , Todd P. Lane

The oceans play a fundamental role in Earth's climate system, redistributing heat and influencing global and regional climate variability and predictability across weather and climate timescales. The benefits of ocean-atmosphere coupling…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Christopher David Roberts , Sarah Keeley , Kristian Mogensen , Charles Pelletier , Hao Zuo

Compositional convection is atmospheric mixing driven by density variations caused by compositional gradients. Previous studies have suggested that compositional gradients of atmospheric trace species within planetary atmospheres can impact…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-11-18 Namrah Habib , Raymond T. Pierrehumbert

Recent research has suggested that the overall dependence of convection near coasts on large-scale atmospheric conditions is weaker than over the open ocean or inland areas. This is due to the fact that in coastal regions convection is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-11-07 Martin Bergemann , Boualem Khouider , Christian Jakob

Vegetation often understood merely as the result of long-term climate conditions. However, vegetation itself plays a fundamental role in shaping Earth's climate by regulating the energy, water, and biogeochemical cycles across terrestrial…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-10 Diego G. Miralles , Jordi Vila-Guerau de Arellano , Tim R. McVicar , Miguel D. Mahecha

An unresolved problem of present generation coupled climate models is the realistic distribution of rainfall over Indian monsoon region, which is also related to the persistent dry bias over Indian land mass. Therefore, quantitative…

Condensation in cumulus clouds plays a key role in structuring the mean, non-precipitating trade-wind boundary layer. Here, we summarise how this role also explains the spontaneous growth of mesoscale ($>O(10)$ km) fluctuations in clouds…

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