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Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

Flow Matching (FM) is a simulation-free method for learning a continuous and invertible flow to interpolate between two distributions, and in particular to generate data from noise. Inspired by the variational nature of the diffusion…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Chen Xu , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

We introduce Pawsterior, a variational flow-matching framework for improved and extended simulation-based inference (SBI). Many SBI problems involve posteriors constrained by structured domains, such as bounded physical parameters or hybrid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Jorge Carrasco-Pollo , Floor Eijkelboom , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a statistical inference approach for estimating latent parameters of a physical system when the likelihood is intractable but simulations are available. In practice, SBI is often hindered by model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Ortal Senouf , Antoine Wehenkel , Cédric Vincent-Cuaz , Emmanuel Abbé , Pascal Frossard

We report on an experimental investigation into opportunities for parallelism in beliefnet inference. Specifically, we report on a study performed of the available parallelism, on hypercube style machines, of a set of randomly generated…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-25 Bruce D'Ambrosio , Tony Fountain , Zhaoyu Li

Diffusion models can learn rich representations during data generation, showing potential for Self-Supervised Learning (SSL), but they face a trade-off between generative quality and discriminative performance. Their iterative sampling also…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Kosuke Ukita , Tsuyoshi Okita

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Accurate condition monitoring of industrial equipment requires inferring latent degradation parameters from indirect sensor measurements under uncertainty. While traditional Bayesian methods like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Peter Collett , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Simone Casolo , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

Flow-based generative modeling is a powerful tool for solving inverse problems in physical sciences that can be used for sampling and likelihood evaluation with much lower inference times than traditional methods. We propose to refine flows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Benjamin Holzschuh , Nils Thuerey

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) can be used to estimate the parameters of complex mechanistic models given observed model outputs without requiring access to explicit likelihood evaluations. A prime example for the application of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Jonas Beck , Michael Deistler , Yves Bernaerts , Jakob Macke , Philipp Berens

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference for simulators with implicit likelihoods. But when we are primarily interested in the quality of predictive simulations, or when the model cannot exactly reproduce the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Richard Gao , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

The efficient resolution of Bayesian inverse problems remains challenging due to the high computational cost of traditional sampling methods. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that integrates Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Daniil Sherki , Ivan Oseledets , Ekaterina Muravleva

Identifying predictive factors for an outcome of interest via a multivariable analysis is often difficult when the data set is small. Combining data from different medical centers into a single (larger) database would alleviate this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Marianne A. Jonker , Hassan Pazira , Anthony CC Coolen

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables Bayesian analysis when the likelihood is intractable but model simulations are available. Recent advances in statistics and machine learning, including Approximate Bayesian Computation and deep…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Haoyu Jiang , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

Recently, Flow Matching models have pushed the boundaries of high-fidelity data generation across a wide range of domains. It typically employs a single large network to learn the entire generative trajectory from noise to data. Despite…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Dogyun Park , Taehoon Lee , Minseok Joo , Hyunwoo J. Kim

Scientific modeling and engineering applications rely heavily on parameter estimation methods to fit physical models and calibrate numerical simulations using real-world measurements. In the absence of analytic statistical models with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-30 Ruoxi Jiang , Peter Y. Lu , Rebecca Willett

A central challenge in many areas of science and engineering is to identify model parameters that are consistent with prior knowledge and empirical data. Bayesian inference offers a principled framework for this task, but can be…

We introduce conditional flow matching for imputation (CFMI), a new general-purpose method to impute missing data. The method combines continuous normalising flows, flow-matching, and shared conditional modelling to deal with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Vaidotas Simkus , Michael U. Gutmann

Understanding temporal dynamics in medical imaging is crucial for applications such as disease progression modeling, treatment planning and anatomical development tracking. However, most deep learning methods either consider only single…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-01 Nico Albert Disch , Yannick Kirchhoff , Robin Peretzke , Maximilian Rokuss , Saikat Roy , Constantin Ulrich , David Zimmerer , Klaus Maier-Hein