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Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

In today's global business market place, individual firms no longer compete as independent entities with unique brand names but as integral part of supply chain links. Key to success of any business is satisfying customer's demands on time…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-08-05 Nelson Christopher Dzupire , Yaw Nkansah-Gyekye

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a mathematically grounded framework to quantify the uncertainty of model predictions but come with a prohibitive computation cost for both training and inference. In this work, we show a novel network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Duo Wang , Yiren Zhao , Ilia Shumailov , Robert Mullins

Accurate spatial-temporal (ST) prediction for dynamic systems, such as urban mobility and weather patterns, is crucial but hindered by complex ST correlations and the challenge of concurrently modeling long-term trends with short-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Sina Ehsani , Fenglian Pan , Qingpei Hu , Jian Liu

We develop Structured-Knowledge-Informed Neural Networks (SKINNs), a unified estimation framework that embeds theoretical, simulated, previously learned, or cross-domain insights as differentiable constraints within flexible neural function…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Yi Cao , Zexun Chen , Lin William Cong , Heqing Shi

Scenario-based optimization and control has proven to be an efficient approach to account for system uncertainty. In particular, the performance of scenario-based model predictive control (MPC) schemes depends on the accuracy of uncertainty…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-22 Yajie Bao , Javad Mohammadpour Velni

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Clinical prognostic models derived from largescale healthcare data can inform critical diagnostic and therapeutic decisions. To enable off-theshelf usage of machine learning (ML) in prognostic research, we developed AUTOPROGNOSIS: a system…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-21 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Graph Neural Network (GNN) has achieved state-of-the-art performance in various high-stake prediction tasks, but multiple layers of aggregations on graphs with irregular structures make GNN a less interpretable model. Prior methods use…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Yifei Liu , Chao Chen , Yazheng Liu , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

Autonomous microgrid planning is a Mixed-Integer Non Convex decision problem that requires to consider investments in both distribution and generation capacity and represents significant computation challenges. We proposed in a previous…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-21 Benoît Martin , François Glineur , Emmanuel De Jaeger

A data-driven approach called CaNN (Calibration Neural Network) is proposed to calibrate financial asset price models using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Determining optimal values of the model parameters is formulated as training…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-03 Shuaiqiang Liu , Anastasia Borovykh , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Motivated by the needs from an airline crew scheduling application, we introduce structured convolutional kernel networks (Struct-CKN), which combine CKNs from Mairal et al. (2014) in a structured prediction framework that supports…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Yassine Yaakoubi , François Soumis , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Balancing predictive power and interpretability has long been a challenging research area, particularly in powerful yet complex models like neural networks, where nonlinearity obstructs direct interpretation. This paper introduces a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Antoine Ledent , Peng Liu

Optimizing Large Language Model (LLM) inference in production systems is increasingly difficult due to dynamic workloads, stringent latency/throughput targets, and a rapidly expanding configuration space. This complexity spans not only…

Shape deviation modeling and compensation in additive manufacturing are pivotal for achieving high geometric accuracy and enabling industrial-scale production. Critical challenges persist, including generalizability across complex…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Juheon Lee , Lei , Chen , Juan Carlos Catana , Hui Wang , Jun Zeng

Despite the superiority of convolutional neural networks demonstrated in time series modeling and forecasting, it has not been fully explored on the design of the neural network architecture and the tuning of the hyper-parameters. Inspired…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-14 Xinze Zhang , Kun He , Yukun Bao

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

Autoregressive and recurrent networks have achieved remarkable progress across various fields, from weather forecasting to molecular generation and Large Language Models. Despite their strong predictive capabilities, these models lack a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Dario Coscia , Max Welling , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

Automated machine learning (AutoML) streamlines the creation of ML models. While most methods select the "best" model based on predictive quality, it's crucial to acknowledge other aspects, such as interpretability and resource consumption.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-21 Raphael Fischer , Amal Saadallah

Multigrid modeling algorithms are a technique used to accelerate relaxation models running on a hierarchy of similar graphlike structures. We introduce and demonstrate a new method for training neural networks which uses multilevel methods.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-22 C. B. Scott , Eric Mjolsness