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While attention has been empirically shown to improve model performance, it lacks a rigorous mathematical justification. This short paper establishes a novel connection between attention mechanisms and multinomial regression. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Jonas A. Actor , Anthony Gruber , Eric C. Cyr

Success in association football relies on both individual skill and coordinated tactics. While recent advancements in spatio-temporal data and deep learning have enabled predictive analyses like trajectory forecasting, the development of…

Capturing contextual dependencies has proven useful to improve the representational power of deep neural networks. Recent approaches that focus on modeling global context, such as self-attention and non-local operation, achieve this goal by…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Shenao Zhang , Li Shen , Zhifeng Li , Wei Liu

Predicting accurate future trajectories of multiple agents is essential for autonomous systems, but is challenging due to the complex agent interaction and the uncertainty in each agent's future behavior. Forecasting multi-agent…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-10-08 Ye Yuan , Xinshuo Weng , Yanglan Ou , Kris Kitani

Expected points is a value function fundamental to player evaluation and strategic in-game decision-making across sports analytics, particularly in American football. To estimate expected points, football analysts use machine learning…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Ryan S. Brill , Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande , Abraham J. Wyner

Do NFL teams make rational decisions? What factors potentially affect the probability of wining a game in NFL? How can a team come back from a demoralizing interception? In this study we begin by examining the hypothesis of rational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-02-08 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Evangelos Papalexakis

Dynamic game theory is an increasingly popular tool for modeling multi-agent, e.g. human-robot, interactions. Game-theoretic models presume that each agent wishes to minimize a private cost function that depends on others' actions. These…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Cade Armstrong , Ryan Park , Xinjie Liu , Kushagra Gupta , David Fridovich-Keil

This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating players in association football (soccer). Our method uses possession sequences, i.e. sequences of consecutive on-ball actions, for deriving estimates for player strengths. On the surface,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-13 Robert Bajons , Kurt Hornik

Predictive process monitoring aims to support the execution of a process during runtime with various predictions about the further evolution of a process instance. In the last years a plethora of deep learning architectures have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-15 Martin Käppel , Lars Ackermann , Stefan Jablonski , Simon Härtl

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many real-world scenarios, such as equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, and traffic flow forecasting. It can be observed from recent research that a variety of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Jie Hu , Zhen Jia

In this paper, we study collective interaction dynamics emerging in the game of football-soccer. To do so, we surveyed a database containing body-sensors traces measured during three professional football matches, where we observed…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-18 A. Chacoma , N. Almeira , J. I. Perotti , O. V. Billoni

In American football, a pass rush is an attempt by the defensive team to disrupt the offense and prevent the quarterback (QB) from completing a pass. Existing metrics for assessing pass rush performance are either discrete-time quantities…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-01 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko , Gregory J. Matthews

Defensive deception is a promising approach for cyber defense. Via defensive deception, the defender can anticipate attacker actions; it can mislead or lure attacker, or hide real resources. Although defensive deception is increasingly…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Mu Zhu , Ahmed H. Anwar , Zelin Wan , Jin-Hee Cho , Charles Kamhoua , Munindar P. Singh

Most historical National Football League (NFL) analysis, both mainstream and academic, has relied on public, play-level data to generate team and player comparisons. Given the number of oft omitted variables that impact on-field results,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-14 Michael J. Lopez

Datascouting is one of the most known data applications in professional sport, and specifically football. Its objective is to analyze huge database of players in order to detect high potentials that can be then individually considered by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Simon Lacan

When designing or analyzing multi-agent systems, a fundamental problem is responsibility ascription: to specify which agents are responsible for the joint outcome of their behaviors and to which extent. We model strategic multi-agent…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Christel Baier , Florian Funke , Rupak Majumdar

Decentralized Federated Learning (DFL) remains highly vulnerable to adaptive backdoor attacks designed to bypass traditional passive defense metrics. To address this limitation, we shift the defensive paradigm toward a novel active,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Sheng Pan , Niansheng Tang

Transformer-based neural decoders have emerged as a promising approach to error correction coding, combining data-driven adaptability with efficient modeling of long-range dependencies. This paper presents a novel decoder architecture that…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Chin Wa Lau , Xiang Shi , Ziyan Zheng , Haiwen Cao , Nian Guo

A quest for uncovering influence of behaviour on team performance involves understanding individual behaviour, interactions with others and environment, variations across groups, and effects of interventions. Although insights into each of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-11 Hidemasa Ishii , Yohei Takai , Yuichiro Marui , Yoshihiro Yamazaki , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori

Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair