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Rainfall forecasting in Vietnam is highly challenging due to its diverse climatic conditions and strong geographical variability across river basins, yet accurate and reliable forecasts are vital for flood management, hydropower operation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Dung T. Tran , Huyen Ngoc Huyen , Hong Nguyen , Xuan-Vu Phan , Nam-Phong Nguyen

Accurate precipitation forecasting is indispensable in agriculture, disaster management, and sustainable strategies. However, predicting rainfall has been challenging due to the complexity of climate systems and the heterogeneous nature of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Chen Jiang , Kofi Osei , Sai Deepthi Yeddula , Dongji Feng , Wei-Shinn Ku

This paper presents Variables Adaptive Mixture of Experts (VAMoE), a novel framework for incremental weather forecasting that dynamically adapts to evolving spatiotemporal patterns in real time data. Traditional weather prediction models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-21 Hao Chen , Han Tao , Guo Song , Jie Zhang , Yunlong Yu , Yonghan Dong , Lei Bai

Data-driven weather models have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance, yet progress has plateaued in recent years. This paper introduces a Mixture of Experts (MoWE) approach as a novel paradigm to overcome these limitations, not by…

We propose a novel adaptive Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) framework for time series forecasting that enhances expert specialization by incorporating expert-specific loss information directly into the training process. Notably, the overall…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Physics parameterizations are often needed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) of precipitation forecast. This is mainly because the resolutions of most computational atmospheric models are not fine enough to explicitly resolve sub-grid…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-06-19 Khanh Hung Mai , Duc Le , Kazuo Saito , Tomizawa Futo , Yohei Sawada

Precipitation nowcasting is vital for flood warning, agricultural management, and emergency response, yet two bottlenecks persist: the prohibitive cost of modeling million-scale spatiotemporal tokens from multi-variate atmospheric fields,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Xinyu Xiao , Sen Lei , Eryun Liu , Shiming Xiang , Hao Li , Cheng Yuan , Yuan Qi , Qizhao Jin

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

Adverse weather removal tasks like deraining, desnowing, and dehazing are usually treated as separate tasks. However, in practical autonomous driving scenarios, the type, intensity,and mixing degree of weather are unknown, so handling each…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Yulin Luo , Rui Zhao , Xiaobao Wei , Jinwei Chen , Yijie Lu , Shenghao Xie , Tianyu Wang , Ruiqin Xiong , Ming Lu , Shanghang Zhang

Deep-learning precipitation nowcasting models are often optimized using pointwise losses such as mean squared error or mean absolute error, which can lead to overly smooth forecasts and poor representation of heavy rainfall. This study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Gijs van Nieuwkoop , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Non-stationary time series forecasting is challenged by evolving distribution shifts that static models struggle to capture. While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures offer a promising paradigm for decoupling complex drift patterns,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Jiawen Zhu , Shuhan Liu , Di Weng , Yingcai Wu

Short-range prediction of convective precipitation from weather radar observations is essential for severe weather warnings. However, deep learning models trained with pixel-wise error metrics tend to produce overly smooth forecasts that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Haofei Cui , Guangxin He , Juanzhen Sun , Jingjia Luo , Haonan Chen , Xiaoran Zhuang , Mingxuan Chen , Xian Xiao

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Forecasting time series with extreme events is critical yet challenging due to their high variance, irregular dynamics, and sparse but high-impact nature. While existing methods excel in modeling dominant regular patterns, their performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Yaohui Huang , Runmin Zou , Yun Wang , Laeeq Aslam , Ruipeng Dong

Accurate precipitation forecasting is crucial for early warnings of disasters, such as floods and landslides. Traditional forecasts rely on ground-based radar systems, which are space-constrained and have high maintenance costs.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Young-Jae Park , Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Hae-Gon Jeon , Yeji Choi

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Meteorological agencies around the world rely on real-time flood guidance to issue life-saving advisories and warnings. For decades traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have been state-of-the-art for precipitation…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Levi Harris , Tianlong Chen

High Mountain Asia (HMA) holds the highest concentration of frozen water outside the polar regions, serving as a crucial water source for more than 1.9 billion people. Precipitation represents the largest source of uncertainty for future…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-01 Kenza Tazi , Sun Woo P. Kim , Marc Girona-Mata , Richard E. Turner

The real-world traffic networks undergo expansion through the installation of new sensors, implying that the traffic patterns continually evolve over time. Incrementally training a model on the newly added sensors would make the model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Sanghyun Lee , Chanyoung Park

Robust 3D object detection under adverse weather conditions is crucial for autonomous driving. However, most existing methods simply combine all weather samples for training while overlooking data distribution discrepancies across different…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Hongwei Lin , Xun Huang , Chenglu Wen , Cheng Wang
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