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相关论文: Confidence Calibration under Ambiguous Ground Trut…

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Multicalibration requires predicted scores to agree with label probabilities across rich families of subgroups and score-dependent tests, but existing methods require clean input-label pairs for evaluation and post-processing. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Futoshi Futami , Takashi Ishida

Recent years have seen increasing use of supervised learning methods for segmentation tasks. However, the predictive performance of these algorithms depends on the quality of labels. This problem is particularly pertinent in the medical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Le Zhang , Ryutaro Tanno , Mou-Cheng Xu , Chen Jin , Joseph Jacob , Olga Ciccarelli , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander

In the field of image classification, existing methods often struggle with biased or ambiguous data, a prevalent issue in real-world scenarios. Current strategies, including semi-supervised learning and class blending, offer partial…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Lars Schmarje , Vasco Grossmann , Claudius Zelenka , Johannes Brünger , Reinhard Koch

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

We propose an evaluation framework for class probability estimates (CPEs) in the presence of label uncertainty, which is commonly observed as diagnosis disagreement between experts in the medical domain. We also formalize evaluation metrics…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-23 Takahiro Mimori , Keiko Sasada , Hirotaka Matsui , Issei Sato

Speech Emotion Recognition models typically use single categorical labels, overlooking the inherent ambiguity of human emotions. Ambiguous Emotion Recognition addresses this by representing emotions as probability distributions, but…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-22 Wenda Zhang , Hongyu Jin , Siyi Wang , Zhiqiang Wei , Ting Dang

Villalobos et al. [2024] predict that publicly available human text will be exhausted within the next decade. Thus, improving models without access to ground-truth labels becomes increasingly important. We propose a label-free…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Yuqing Kong , Mingyu Song , Yizhou Wang , Yifan Wu

Supporting model interpretability for complex phenomena where annotators can legitimately disagree, such as emotion recognition, is a challenging machine learning task. In this work, we show that explicitly quantifying the uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-08 Asma Ghandeharioun , Brian Eoff , Brendan Jou , Rosalind W. Picard

Recent state-of-the-art methods in semi-supervised learning (SSL) combine consistency regularization with confidence-based pseudo-labeling. To obtain high-quality pseudo-labels, a high confidence threshold is typically adopted. However, it…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Zhuoran Yu , Yin Li , Yong Jae Lee

We prove a fundamental impossibility theorem: neural networks cannot simultaneously learn well-calibrated confidence estimates with meaningful diversity when trained using binary correct/incorrect supervision. Through rigorous mathematical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-19 Arjun S. Nair , Kristina P. Sinaga

Calibrated probabilistic classifiers are models whose predicted probabilities can directly be interpreted as uncertainty estimates. It has been shown recently that deep neural networks are poorly calibrated and tend to output overconfident…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Teodora Popordanoska , Raphael Sayer , Matthew B. Blaschko

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed for tabular question answering, yet calibration on structured data is largely unstudied. This paper presents the first systematic comparison of five confidence estimation methods across…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Lukas Voss

Test-time reinforcement learning mitigates the reliance on annotated data by using majority voting results as pseudo-labels, emerging as a complementary direction to reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) for improving…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Weiqin Wang , Yile Wang , Kehao Chen , Hui Huang

Recent studies in deep learning have shown significant progress in named entity recognition (NER). Most existing works assume clean data annotation, yet a fundamental challenge in real-world scenarios is the large amount of noise from a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Kun Liu , Yao Fu , Chuanqi Tan , Mosha Chen , Ningyu Zhang , Songfang Huang , Sheng Gao

Aleatoric uncertainty captures the inherent randomness of the data, such as measurement noise. In Bayesian regression, we often use a Gaussian observation model, where we control the level of aleatoric uncertainty with a noise variance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Sanyam Kapoor , Wesley J. Maddox , Pavel Izmailov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Building an accurate computer-aided diagnosis system based on data-driven approaches requires a large amount of high-quality labeled data. In medical imaging analysis, multiple expert annotators often produce subjective estimates about…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Khiem H. Le , Tuan V. Tran , Hieu H. Pham , Hieu T. Nguyen , Tung T. Le , Ha Q. Nguyen

The introduction of large language models into integrated development environments (IDEs) is revolutionizing software engineering, yet it poses challenges to the usefulness and reliability of Artificial Intelligence-generated code. Post-hoc…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Roham Koohestani , Agnia Sergeyuk , David Gros , Claudio Spiess , Sergey Titov , Prem Devanbu , Maliheh Izadi

The growing use of deep learning in safety-critical applications, such as medical imaging, has raised concerns about limited labeled data, where this demand is amplified as model complexity increases, posing hurdles for domain experts to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Lorenzo S. Querol , Hajime Nagahara , Hideaki Hayashi

As machine learning techniques become widely adopted in new domains, especially in safety-critical systems such as autonomous vehicles, it is crucial to provide accurate output uncertainty estimation. As a result, many approaches have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Sooyong Jang , Radoslav Ivanov , Insup Lee , James Weimer

Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-21 Chen Li , Xiaoling Hu , Chao Chen