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Deep learning models have recently achieved significant performance improvements in time series forecasting. We present a highly accurate and simply structured CNN-based model with only one convolutional layer, called WinNet, including (i)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Wenjie Ou , Zhishuo Zhao , Dongyue Guo , Zheng Zhang , Yi Lin

Current, self-supervised depth estimation architectures rely on clear and sunny weather scenes to train deep neural networks. However, in many locations, this assumption is too strong. For example in the UK (2021), 149 days consisted of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Kieran Saunders , George Vogiatzis , Luis Manso

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…

Due to computational constraints, climate simulations cannot resolve a range of small-scale physical processes, which have a significant impact on the large-scale evolution of the climate system. Parameterization is an approach to capture…

This study explores the application of deep learning for rainfall prediction, leveraging the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) High rate information transmission (HRIT) data as input and the Operational Program on the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Atharva Deshpande , Kaushik Gopalan , Jeet Shah , Hrishikesh Simu

High-fidelity ocean forecasting at high spatial and temporal resolution is essential for capturing fine-scale dynamical features, with profound implications for hazard prediction, maritime navigation, and sustainable ocean management. While…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-30 Yuan Niu , Qiusheng Huang , Xiaohui Zhong , Anboyu Guo , Lei Chen , Xiaoyan Jia , Jiawei Qi , Dianjun Zhang , Hao Li , Xuefeng Zhang

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution climate models or downscaling. High-resolution models are…

The problem of forecasting weather has been scientifically studied for centuries due to its high impact on human lives, transportation, food production and energy management, among others. Current operational forecasting models are based on…

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

Realtime model learning proves challenging for complex dynamical systems, such as drones flying in variable wind conditions. Machine learning technique such as deep neural networks have high representation power but is often too slow to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-05-26 Michael O'Connell , Guanya Shi , Xichen Shi , Soon-Jo Chung

Machine learning models have been employed to perform either physics-free data-driven or hybrid dynamical downscaling of climate data. Most of these implementations operate over relatively small downscaling factors because of the challenge…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-24 Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Yan Feng

Long-term weather forecasting is critical for socioeconomic planning and disaster preparedness. While recent approaches employ finetuning to extend prediction horizons, they remain constrained by the issues of catastrophic forgetting, error…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Fenghua Ling , Lei Bai

Accurate forecasting of renewable generation is crucial to facilitate the integration of Renewable Energy Sources into the power system. Focusing on photovoltaic (PV) units, forecasting methods can be divided into two main categories:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Matteo Tortora , Francesco Conte , Gianluca Natrella , Paolo Soda

Statistical post-processing of global ensemble weather forecasts is revisited by leveraging recent developments in machine learning. Verification of past forecasts is exploited to learn systematic deficiencies of numerical weather…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-23 Zied Ben-Bouallegue , Jonathan A Weyn , Mariana C A Clare , Jesper Dramsch , Peter Dueben , Matthew Chantry

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

Weather forecasts sit upstream of high-stakes decisions in domains such as grid operations, aviation, agriculture, and emergency response. Yet forecast users often face a difficult trade-off. Many decision-relevant targets are functionals…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Paulius Rauba , Viktor Cikojevic , Fran Bartolic , Sam Levang , Ty Dickinson , Chase Dwelle

Accurate global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) climate forecasting is critical for disaster preparedness and resource management, yet it remains challenging due to chaotic atmospheric dynamics. Existing models predominantly treat atmospheric…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-02-18 Ziyu Zhou , Tian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , James Kwok , Yuxuan Liang