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A common task in experimental sciences is to fit mathematical models to real-world measurements to improve understanding of natural phenomenon (reverse-engineering or inverse modeling). When complex dynamical systems are considered, such as…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-18 Jean-Charles Croix , Nicolas Durrande , Mauricio Alvarez

We consider optimal sensor placement for hyper-parameterized linear Bayesian inverse problems, where the hyper-parameter characterizes nonlinear flexibilities in the forward model, and is considered for a range of possible values. This…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-11-24 Nicole Aretz-Nellesen , Peng Chen , Martin A. Grepl , Karen Veroy

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

Making good predictions of a physical system using a computer code requires the inputs to be carefully specified. Some of these inputs called control variables have to reproduce physical conditions whereas other inputs, called parameters,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-04 Guillaume Damblin , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Alberto Pasanisi , Eric Parent

Numerical simulations are widely used to predict the behavior of physical systems, with Bayesian approaches being particularly well suited for this purpose. However, experimental observations are necessary to calibrate certain simulator…

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

Spurred on by recent successes in causal inference competitions, Bayesian nonparametric (and high-dimensional) methods have recently seen increased attention in the causal inference literature. In this paper, we present a comprehensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Antonio R. Linero , Joseph L. Antonelli

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

Mathematical models implemented on a computer have become the driving force behind the acceleration of the cycle of scientific processes. This is because computer models are typically much faster and economical to run than physical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Mookyong Son , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

A central theme in classical algorithms for the reconstruction of discontinuous functions from observational data is perimeter regularization via the use of the total variation. On the other hand, sparse or noisy data often demands a…

There are many practical difficulties in the calibration of computer models to experimental data. One such complication is the fact that certain combinations of the calibration inputs can cause the code to output data lacking fundamental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Peter W. Marcy , Curtis B. Storlie

We present a Bayesian nonparametric system reliability model which scales well and provides a great deal of flexibility in modeling. The Bayesian approach naturally handles the disparate amounts of component and subsystem data that may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Richard L. Warr , Jeremy M. Meyer , Jackson T. Curtis

It has become commonplace to use complex computer models to predict outcomes in regions where data does not exist. Typically these models need to be calibrated and validated using some experimental data, which often consists of multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-19 Curtis B. Storlie , William A. Lane , Emily M. Ryan , James R. Gattiker , David M. Higdon

Bayesian estimation is a vital tool in robotics as it allows systems to update the robot state belief using incomplete information from noisy sensors. To render the state estimation problem tractable, many systems assume that the motion and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Miguel Saavedra-Ruiz , Steven A. Parkison , Ria Arora , James Richard Forbes , Liam Paull

The present paper proposes a novel Bayesian, computational strategy in the context of model-based inverse problems in elastostatics. On one hand we attempt to provide probabilistic estimates of the material properties and their spatial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-21 P. S. Koutsourelakis

The simultaneous estimation of multiple unknown parameters lies at heart of a broad class of important problems across science and technology. Currently, the state-of-the-art performance in the such problems is achieved by nonparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-30 Alton Barbehenn , Sihai Dave Zhao

Calibration is nowadays one of the most important processes involved in the extraction of valuable data from measurements. The current availability of an optimum data cube measured from a heterogeneous set of instruments and surveys relies…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-08-13 Maria Jose Marquez

Bayesian optimization has proven to be a highly effective methodology for the global optimization of unknown, expensive and multimodal functions. The ability to accurately model distributions over functions is critical to the effectiveness…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-13 Jasper Snoek , Kevin Swersky , Richard S. Zemel , Ryan P. Adams

The Bayesian approach has proved to be a coherent approach to handle ill posed Inverse problems. However, the Bayesian calculations need either an optimization or an integral calculation. The maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation requires…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari