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Accurate electricity price forecasting (EPF) is increasingly difficult in markets characterised by extreme volatility, frequent price spikes, and rapid structural shifts. Deep learning (DL) has been increasingly adopted in EPF due to its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Mohammed Osman Gani , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Sara Khalifa

Despite the remarkable performance, modern deep neural networks are inevitably accompanied by a significant amount of computational cost for learning and deployment, which may be incompatible with their usage on edge devices. Recent efforts…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-11 Seul-Ki Yeom , Kyung-Hwan Shim , Jee-Hyun Hwang

Non-stationary power system dynamics, influenced by renewable energy variability, evolving demand patterns, and climate change, are becoming increasingly complex. Accurately capturing these dynamics requires a model capable of adapting to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Yang Weng , Marija Ilic , Guangchun Ruan

Prediction of stock price movements presents a formidable challenge in financial analytics due to the inherent volatility, non-stationarity, and nonlinear characteristics of market data. This paper introduces SPH-Net (Stock Price Prediction…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Yiyang Wu , Hanyu Ma , Muxin Ge , Xiaoli Ma , Yadi Liu , Ye Aung Moe , Zeyu Han , Weizheng Xie

Wind power forecasting plays a critical role in modern energy systems, facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. Accurate prediction of wind energy output is essential for managing the inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Ali Forootani , Danial Esmaeili Aliabadi , Daniela Thraen

Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed to efficiently perform tabular classification tasks. Although they achieve good performance on small datasets, they encounter limitations with larger datasets. These limitations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Yuxin Wang , Botian Jiang , Yiran Guo , Quan Gan , David Wipf , Xuanjing Huang , Xipeng Qiu

In this paper, we apply conformal prediction to time series data. Conformal prediction isa method that produces predictive regions given a confidence level. The regions outputs arealways valid under the exchangeability assumption. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Samya Tajmouati , Bouazza El Wahbi , Mohammed Dakkoun

Traffic flow forecasting has emerged as an indispensable mission for daily life, which is required to utilize the spatiotemporal relationship between each location within a time period under a graph structure to predict future flow.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Runfei Chen

Currently, it is hard to reap the benefits of deep learning for Bayesian methods, which allow the explicit specification of prior knowledge and accurately capture model uncertainty. We present Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs). PFNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Samuel Müller , Noah Hollmann , Sebastian Pineda Arango , Josif Grabocka , Frank Hutter

Time series data are everywhere -- from finance to healthcare -- and each domain brings its own unique complexities and structures. While advanced models like Transformers and graph neural networks (GNNs) have gained popularity in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Fan-Keng Sun , Yu-Cheng Wu , Duane S. Boning

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

Time-series data is a vital modality within data science communities. This is particularly valuable in financial applications, where it helps in detecting patterns, understanding market behavior, and making informed decisions based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-10 Xueying Ding , Aakriti Mittal , Achintya Gopal

Due to the recurrent structure of RNN, the long information propagation path poses limitations in capturing long-term dependencies, gradient explosion/vanishing issues, and inefficient sequential execution. Based on this, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Yuxin Jia , Youfang Lin , Jing Yu , Shuo Wang , Tianhao Liu , Huaiyu Wan

Forecasting future states of sensors is key to solving tasks like weather prediction, route planning, and many others when dealing with networks of sensors. But complete spatial coverage of sensors is generally unavailable and would…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-22 Andreas Roth , Thomas Liebig

Large models have shown unprecedented capabilities in natural language processing, image generation, and most recently, time series forecasting. This leads us to ask the question: treating market prices as a time series, can large models be…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-16 Xinghong Fu , Masanori Hirano , Kentaro Imajo

The Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem is pivotal for power system operations, guiding generator output and power distribution to meet demand at minimized costs, while adhering to physical and engineering constraints. The integration of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Chen Li , Alexander Kies , Kai Zhou , Markus Schlott , Omar El Sayed , Mariia Bilousova , Horst Stoecker

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have shown significant impact through their model capacity, scalability, and zero-shot generalization. However, due to the heterogeneity of inter-variate dependencies and the backbone scalability on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Guo Qin , Zhi Chen , Yong Liu , Zhiyuan Shi , Haixuan Liu , Xiangdong Huang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

While numerous forecasters have been proposed using different network architectures, the Transformer-based models have state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting. However, forecasters based on Transformers are still suffering…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Kun Yi , Jingru Fei , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Shufeng Hao , Defu Lian , Wei Fan

Time series datasets often have missing or corrupted entries, which need to be ignored in subsequent data analysis. For example, in the context of space physics, calibration issues, satellite telemetry issues, and unexpected events can make…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Daniel Wrench , Tulasi N. Parashar , Ritesh K. Singh , Marcus Frean , Ramesh Rayudu

Weather forecasting is critical for a range of human activities including transportation, agriculture, industry, as well as the safety of the general public. Machine learning models have the potential to transform the complex weather…