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Modern time series forecasting increasingly relies on complex ensemble models generated by AutoML systems like AutoGluon, delivering superior accuracy but with significant costs to transparency and interpretability. This paper introduces a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Yikai Zhao , Jiekai Ma

The goal of selective prediction is to allow an a model to abstain when it may not be able to deliver a reliable prediction, which is important in safety-critical contexts. Existing approaches to selective prediction typically require…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Zaid Khan , Yun Fu

Counterfactual explanations promote explainability in machine learning models by answering the question "how should an input instance be perturbed to obtain a desired predicted label?". The comparison of this instance before and after…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Jing Ma , Ruocheng Guo , Saumitra Mishra , Aidong Zhang , Jundong Li

In practical scenarios where training data is limited, many predictive signals in the data can be rather from some biases in data acquisition (i.e., less generalizable), so that one cannot prevent a model from co-adapting on such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-27 Jongheon Jeong , Sihyun Yu , Hankook Lee , Jinwoo Shin

There have been several post-hoc explanation approaches developed to explain pre-trained black-box neural networks. However, there is still a gap in research efforts toward designing neural networks that are inherently explainable. In this…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-01 Subash Khanal , Benjamin Brodie , Xin Xing , Ai-Ling Lin , Nathan Jacobs

Models can fail in unpredictable ways during deployment due to task ambiguity, when multiple behaviors are consistent with the provided training data. An example is an object classifier trained on red squares and blue circles: when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Alex Tamkin , Dat Nguyen , Salil Deshpande , Jesse Mu , Noah Goodman

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Building a question answering (QA) model with less annotation costs can be achieved by utilizing active learning (AL) training strategy. It selects the most informative unlabeled training data to update the model effectively. Acquisition…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Fan Luo , Mihai Surdeanu

Generative models of complex systems often require post-hoc parameter adjustments to produce useful outputs. For example, energy-based models for protein design are sampled at an artificially low ''temperature'' to generate novel,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-12-11 Peter W Fields , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J Schwab , Stephanie E Palmer

Organisms and ecological groups accumulate evidence to make decisions. Classic experiments and theoretical studies have explored this process when the correct choice is fixed during each trial. However, we live in a constantly changing…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2015-10-01 Alan Veliz-Cuba , Zachary P. Kilpatrick , Kresimir Josic

Explainable AI (XAI) methods generally fall into two categories. Post-hoc approaches generate explanations for pre-trained models and are compatible with various neural network architectures. These methods often use feature importance…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Piotr Borycki , Magdalena Trędowicz , Szymon Janusz , Jacek Tabor , Przemysław Spurek , Arkadiusz Lewicki , Łukasz Struski

Personalisation of products and services is fast becoming the driver of success in banking and commerce. Machine learning holds the promise of gaining a deeper understanding of and tailoring to customers' needs and preferences. Whereas…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-30 Charl Maree , Christian Omlin

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration. While standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, calibrated confidence scores that are representative of the true likelihood of a prediction can be achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-24 Christian Tomani , Sebastian Gruber , Muhammed Ebrar Erdem , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Predicting default is essential for banks to ensure profitability and financial stability. While modern machine learning methods often outperform traditional regression techniques, their lack of transparency limits their use in regulated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Sagi Schwartz , Qinling Wang , Fang Fang

Neural networks have achieved remarkable success across various fields. However, the lack of interpretability limits their practical use, particularly in critical decision-making scenarios. Post-hoc interpretability, which provides…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Yang Ji , Ying Sun , Yuting Zhang , Zhigaoyuan Wang , Yuanxin Zhuang , Zheng Gong , Dazhong Shen , Chuan Qin , Hengshu Zhu , Hui Xiong

Given a limited labeling budget, active learning (AL) aims to sample the most informative instances from an unlabeled pool to acquire labels for subsequent model training. To achieve this, AL typically measures the informativeness of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-07 Cheng Chen , Yong Wang , Lizi Liao , Yueguo Chen , Xiaoyong Du

We propose Black Box Explanations through Transparent Approximations (BETA), a novel model agnostic framework for explaining the behavior of any black-box classifier by simultaneously optimizing for fidelity to the original model and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-07-06 Himabindu Lakkaraju , Ece Kamar , Rich Caruana , Jure Leskovec

As the use of deep neural networks continues to grow, understanding their behaviour has become more crucial than ever. Post-hoc explainability methods are a potential solution, but their reliability is being called into question. Our…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Lenka Tětková , Lars Kai Hansen

This position paper defends post-hoc explainability methods as legitimate tools for scientific knowledge production in machine learning. Addressing criticism of these methods' reliability and epistemic status, we develop a philosophical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Nick Oh

Explaining the decisions made by machine learning models for high-stakes applications is critical for increasing transparency and guiding improvements to these decisions. This is particularly true in the case of models for graphs, where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Kha-Dinh Luong , Mert Kosan , Arlei Lopes Da Silva , Ambuj Singh
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