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This paper tests whether graph neural networks improve realized volatility forecasts and whether those forecasts improve portfolio performance. Using weekly realized volatility for 465 S&P 500 equities from 2015-2025, Heterogeneous…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-21 Rylan Wade

A drawdown constraint forces the current wealth to remain above a given function of its maximum to date. We consider the portfolio optimisation problem of maximising the long-term growth rate of the expected utility of wealth subject to a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-04-23 Vladimir Cherny , Jan Obloj

Fr{\o}seth (2026; arXiv:2603.05264) shows that a proportional wealth tax on market values is neutral with respect to portfolio choice, Sharpe ratios, and equilibrium prices under CRRA preferences and geometric Brownian motion. This paper…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-16 Anders G Frøseth

Random matrix theory is finding an increasing number of applications in the context of information theory and communication systems, especially in studying the properties of complex networks. Such properties include short-term and long-term…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-01-13 Sherif M. Abuelenin , Adel Y. Abul-Magd

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a popular stochastic optimization method in machine learning. Traditional parallel SGD algorithms, e.g., SimuParallel SGD, often require all nodes to have the same performance or to consume equal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-17 Cheng Daning , Li Shigang , Zhang Yunquan

Despite the tremendous success of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) algorithm in deep learning, little is known about how SGD finds generalizable solutions in the high-dimensional weight space. By analyzing the learning dynamics and loss…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-07 Yu Feng , Yuhai Tu

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a key ingredient in the training of deep neural networks and yet its geometrical significance appears elusive. We study a deterministic model in which the trajectories of our dynamical systems are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-19 R. Fioresi , P. Chaudhari , S. Soatto

We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-24 Bar Light

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) method is a widely used approach for solving stochastic optimization problems, but its convergence is typically slow. Existing variance reduction techniques, such as SAGA, improve convergence by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-21 Fabio Nobile , Matteo Raviola , Nathan Schaeffer

This paper studies a non-stochastic version of Fernholz's stochastic portfolio theory for a simple model of stock markets with continuous price paths. It establishes non-stochastic versions of the most basic results of stochastic portfolio…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-02-28 Vladimir Vovk

In this paper we introduce a unified analysis of a large family of variants of proximal stochastic gradient descent ({\tt SGD}) which so far have required different intuitions, convergence analyses, have different applications, and which…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-28 Eduard Gorbunov , Filip Hanzely , Peter Richtárik

Large language model pre-training typically exhibits a two-phase trajectory: a fast initial loss drop followed by a prolonged slow improvement. We identify an underlying spectral phenomenon, Stability of Singular Distribution (SoSD), where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Hongtao Zhang , Wenjie Zhou , Chenxi Jia , Wei Chen , Xueqi Cheng

This work investigates the problem of estimating the weight matrices of a stable time-invariant linear dynamical system from a single sequence of noisy measurements. We show that if the unknown weight matrices describing the system are in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-24 Navid Reyhanian , Jarvis Haupt

Recent work has highlighted a surprising alignment between gradients and the top eigenspace of the Hessian -- termed the Dominant subspace -- during neural network training. Concurrently, there has been growing interest in the distinct…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Daniyar Zakarin , Sidak Pal Singh

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is central to deep learning, yet the dynamical origin of its preference for flatter, more generalizable solutions remains unclear. Here, by analyzing SGD learning dynamics, we identify a nonequilibrium…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Ning Yang , Yikuan Zhang , Qi Ouyang , Chao Tang , Yuhai Tu

Models are expected to engage in invariance learning, which involves distinguishing the core relations that remain consistent across varying environments to ensure the predictions are safe, robust and fair. While existing works consider…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Yang Xu , Yihong Gu , Cong Fang

I discuss some theoretical results with a view to motivate some practical choices in portfolio optimization. Even though the setting is not completely general (for example, the covariance matrix is assumed to be non-singular), I attempt to…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2016-01-29 Vassilios Papathanakos

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) provides a simple and efficient way to solve a broad range of machine learning problems. Here, we focus on distribution regression (DR), involving two stages of sampling: Firstly, we regress from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Nicole Mücke

Diffusion and flow-based generative models have achieved remarkable success in domains such as image synthesis, video generation, and natural language modeling. In this work, we extend these advances to weight space learning by leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Daniel Saragih , Deyu Cao , Tejas Balaji

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana