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Unmeasured confounding presents a significant challenge in causal inference from observational studies. Classical approaches often rely on collecting proxy variables, such as instrumental variables. However, in applications where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Xiaochuan Shi , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

We study a new model where the potential outcomes, corresponding to the values of a (possibly continuous) treatment, are linked through common factors. The factors can be estimated using a panel of regressors. We propose a procedure to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-09 Jad Beyhum

We consider large-scale studies in which thousands of significance tests are performed simultaneously. In some of these studies, the multiple testing procedure can be severely biased by latent confounding factors such as batch effects and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-21 Jingshu Wang , Qingyuan Zhao , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

Studying causal effects of continuous treatments is important for gaining a deeper understanding of many interventions, policies, or medications, yet researchers are often left with observational studies for doing so. In the observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Jared D. Huling , Noah Greifer , Guanhua Chen

Medical professionals evaluating alternative treatment plans for a patient often encounter time varying confounders, or covariates that affect both the future treatment assignment and the patient outcome. The recently proposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-21 Garima Gupta , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

Counterfactual data augmentation has recently emerged as a method to mitigate confounding biases in the training data. These biases, such as spurious correlations, arise due to various observed and unobserved confounding variables in the…

Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

Inverse probability weights are commonly used in epidemiology to estimate causal effects in observational studies. Researchers can typically focus on either the average treatment effect or the average treatment effect on the treated with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-05 Eli Ben-Michael , Luke Keele

We propose a method of retrospective counterfactual imputation in panel data settings with later-treated and always-treated units, but no never-treated units. We use the observed outcomes to impute the counterfactual outcomes of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-03 Jason Poulos , Andrea Albanese , Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li

Estimating an individual's potential outcomes under counterfactual treatments is a challenging task for traditional causal inference and supervised learning approaches when the outcome is high-dimensional (e.g. gene expressions, impulse…

We address the problem of integrating data from multiple, possibly biased, observational and interventional studies, to eventually compute counterfactuals in structural causal models. We start from the case of a single observational dataset…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-17 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , David Huber , Rafael Cabañas

Personalized decision making requires the knowledge of potential outcomes under different treatments, and confidence intervals about the potential outcomes further enrich this decision-making process and improve its reliability in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Zonghao Chen , Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu

Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments is a common problem in practice, for example, in studying average dose-response functions. Classical analyses typically assume that all confounders are fully observed, whereas in real-world…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

We study the problem of estimating causal effects under hidden confounding in the following unpaired data setting: we observe some covariates $X$ and an outcome $Y$ under different experimental conditions (environments) but do not observe…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Felix Schur , Niklas Pfister , Peng Ding , Sach Mukherjee , Jonas Peters

Motivated by empirical studies investigating treatment effects in survival analysis, we propose a bivariate transformation model to quantify the impact of a binary treatment on a time-to-event outcome. The model equations are connected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

We study counterfactual classification as a new tool for decision-making under hypothetical (contrary to fact) scenarios. We propose a doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for a general counterfactual classifier, where we can incorporate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , José R. Zubizarreta

Recent theoretical work in causal inference has explored an important class of variables which, when conditioned on, may further amplify existing unmeasured confounding bias (bias amplification). Despite this theoretical work, existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Tyrel Stokes , Russell Steele , Ian Shrier

In the absence of a randomized experiment, a key assumption for drawing causal inference about treatment effects is the ignorable treatment assignment. Violations of the ignorability assumption may lead to biased treatment effect estimates.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Liangyuan Hu , Jungang Zou , Chenyang Gu , Jiayi Ji , Michael Lopez , Minal Kale