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Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

The use of wearables in medicine and wellness, enabled by AI-based models, offers tremendous potential for real-time monitoring and interpretable event detection. Explainable AI (XAI) is required to assess what models have learned and build…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-16 Maurice Kuschel , Solveig Vieluf , Claus Reinsberger , Tobias Loddenkemper , Tanuj Hasija

Time series forecasting enables early warning and has driven asset performance management from traditional planned maintenance to predictive maintenance. However, the lack of interpretability in forecasting methods undermines users' trust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Bo Liu , Shao-Bo Lin , Changmiao Wang , Xiaotong Liu

Deep clustering uncovers hidden patterns and groups in complex time series data, yet its opaque decision-making limits use in safety-critical settings. This survey offers a structured overview of explainable deep clustering for time series,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Udo Schlegel , Gabriel Marques Tavares , Thomas Seidl

We propose a novel approach to the problem of clustering hierarchically aggregated time-series data, which has remained an understudied problem though it has several commercial applications. We first group time series at each aggregated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-30 Xing Han , Tongzheng Ren , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh , Nhat Ho

This paper presents a systematic literature review (SLR) on the explainability and interpretability of machine learning (ML) models within the context of predictive process mining, using the PRISMA framework. Given the rapid advancement of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Nijat Mehdiyev , Maxim Majlatow , Peter Fettke

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Artificial intelligence is creating one of the biggest revolution across technology driven application fields. For the finance sector, it offers many opportunities for significant market innovation and yet broad adoption of AI systems…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-12-07 Marc Wildi , Branka Hadji Misheva

It is imperative to discern the relationships between multiple time series for accurate forecasting. In particular, for stock prices, components are often divided into groups with the same characteristics, and a model that extracts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Ryo Umagami , Yu Ono , Yusuke Mukuta , Tatsuya Harada

Deep learning methods are powerful tools in classifying multivariate time series data. Despite their high performance, these methods are hard to interpret, which diminishes their applications in high-risk domains such as healthcare. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Bhavesh Kalisetti , Vincent Wang , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Maryam Bijanzadeh , Reza Abbasi-Asl

Software analytics has been the subject of considerable recent attention but is yet to receive significant industry traction. One of the key reasons is that software practitioners are reluctant to trust predictions produced by the analytics…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-02-05 Hoa Khanh Dam , Truyen Tran , Aditya Ghose

Time series forecasting is a critical and challenging task in practical application. Recent advancements in pre-trained foundation models for time series forecasting have gained significant interest. However, current methods often overlook…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-02 Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Zhaoxiang Hou , Chengyi Yang , Zengxiang Li , Qingsong Wen , Yi Wang

Deep time series models continue to improve predictive performance, yet their deployment remains limited by their black-box nature. In response, existing interpretability approaches in the field keep focusing on explaining the internal…

Demand forecasting in competitive, uncertain business environments requires models that can integrate multiple evaluation perspectives rather than being restricted to hyperparameter optimization based on a single metric. This traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Adolfo González , Víctor Parada

The practical importance of coherent forecasts in hierarchical forecasting has inspired many studies on forecast reconciliation. Under this approach, so-called base forecasts are produced for every series in the hierarchy and are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-21 Bohan Zhang , Yanfei Kang , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Feng Li

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Recent advancements in machine learning have emphasized the need for transparency in model predictions, particularly as interpretability diminishes when using increasingly complex architectures. In this paper, we propose leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Chenrui Zhu , Louenas Bounia , Vu Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Arthur Hoarau

We encounter time series data in many domains such as finance, physics, business, and weather. One of the main tasks of time series analysis, one that helps to take informed decisions under uncertainty, is forecasting. Time series are often…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Gal Elgavish

The classification of time-series data is pivotal for streaming data and comes with many challenges. Although the amount of publicly available datasets increases rapidly, deep neural models are only exploited in a few areas. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-27 Dominique Mercier , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Anomaly detection to recognize unusual events in large scale systems in a time sensitive manner is critical in many industries, eg. bank fraud, enterprise systems, medical alerts, etc. Large-scale systems often grow in size and complexity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-31 Srishti Mishra , Tvarita Jain , Dinkar Sitaram