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Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

We focus on Partial Differential Equation (PDE) based Data Assimilatio problems (DA) solved by means of variational approaches and Kalman filter algorithm. Recently, we presented a Domain Decomposition framework (we call it DD-DA, for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-01 Rosalba Cacciapuoti , Luisa D'Amore

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful method for drawing samples from non-standard probability distributions and is utilized across many fields and disciplines. Methods such as Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin (MALA) and Hamiltonian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Lee Devlin , Paul Horridge , Peter L. Green , Simon Maskell

In this article we develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo estimation. In particular, the method can be used to estimate expectations with respect to a target probability distribution over an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Youssef Marzouk , Yan Zhou

We develop an Evolutionary Markov Chain Monte Carlo (EMCMC) algorithm for sampling spatial partitions that lie within a large and complex spatial state space. Our algorithm combines the advantages of evolutionary algorithms (EAs) as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Wendy K. Tam Cho , Yan Y. Liu

The Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm (MALA) is a widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling from high-dimensional distributions. However, MALA relies on differentiability assumptions that restrict its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-10 Ning Ning

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is often conducted via local or sequential search over topologies and branch lengths using algorithms such as random-walk Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or Combinatorial Sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC).…

Single-site Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a variant of MCMC in which a single coordinate in the state space is modified in each step. Structured relational models are a good candidate for this style of inference. In the single-site…

In statistical data assimilation one seeks the largest maximum of the conditional probability distribution $P(\mathbf{X},\mathbf{p}|\mathbf{Y})$ of model states, $\mathbf{X}$, and parameters,$\mathbf{p}$, conditioned on observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Sasha Shirman , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

During the last few years discontinuous Galerkin (DG) methods have received increased interest from the geophysical community. In these methods the solution in each grid cell is approximated as a linear combination of basis functions.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-02-19 Ivo Pasmans , Yumeng Chen , Alberto Carrassi , Chris K. R. T. Jones

As it has become common to use many computer cores in routine applications, finding good ways to parallelize popular algorithms has become increasingly important. In this paper, we present a parallelization scheme for Markov chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-01 Guillaume W. Basse , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Embarrassingly (communication-free) parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are commonly used in learning graphical models. However, MCMC cannot be directly applied in learning topic models because of the quasi-ergodicity problem…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-11 Lee Gao , Ronghuo Zheng

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Data assimilation (DA) is a fundamental computational technique that integrates numerical simulation models and observation data on the basis of Bayesian statistics. Originally developed for meteorology, especially weather forecasting, DA…

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) is now a popular method for performing Bayesian statistical inference on challenging state space models (SSMs) with unknown static parameters. It uses a particle filter (PF) at each iteration of an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-19 Christopher Drovandi , Richard G Everitt , Andrew Golightly , Dennis Prangle

Estimating latent epidemic states and model parameters from partially observed, noisy data remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling. State-space formulations provide a coherent probabilistic framework for such inference, yet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

In the last two decades, the linear model of coregionalization (LMC) has been widely used to model multivariate spatial processes. However, it can be a challenging task to conduct likelihood-based inference for such models because of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Renaud Alie , David A. Stephens , Alexandra M. Schmidt

SMC (Sequential Monte Carlo) is a class of Monte Carlo algorithms for filtering and related sequential problems. Gerber and Chopin (2015) introduced SQMC (Sequential quasi-Monte Carlo), a QMC version of SMC. This paper has two objectives:…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-19 Nicolas Chopin , Mathieu Gerber

We explore a general framework in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling where sequential proposals are tried as a candidate for the next state of the Markov chain. This sequential-proposal framework can be applied to various existing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Joonha Park , Yves F. Atchadé