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Diffusion models have become popular for policy learning in robotics due to their ability to capture high-dimensional and multimodal distributions. However, diffusion policies are stochastic and typically trained offline, limiting their…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Ralf Römer , Alexander von Rohr , Angela P. Schoellig

Many important phenomena in scientific fields like climate, neuroscience, and epidemiology are naturally represented as spatiotemporal gridded data with complex interactions. Inferring causal relationships from these data is a challenging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Kun Wang , Sumanth Varambally , Duncan Watson-Parris , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Time series forecasting is crucial for applications like resource scheduling and risk management, where multi-step predictions provide a comprehensive view of future trends. Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a mainstream approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Qingdi Yu , Zhiwei Cao , Ruihang Wang , Zhen Yang , Lijun Deng , Min Hu , Yong Luo , Xin Zhou

Causal representation learning algorithms discover lower-dimensional representations of data that admit a decipherable interpretation of cause and effect; as achieving such interpretable representations is challenging, many causal learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Elise Walker , Jonas A. Actor , Carianne Martinez , Nathaniel Trask

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

In multivariate time series analysis, understanding the underlying causal relationships among variables is often of interest for various applications. Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) provide a powerful framework for representing causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-30 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

Recent works have shown the potential of diffusion models in computer vision and natural language processing. Apart from the classical supervised learning fields, diffusion models have also shown strong competitiveness in reinforcement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-09 Jifeng Hu , Yanchao Sun , Sili Huang , SiYuan Guo , Hechang Chen , Li Shen , Lichao Sun , Yi Chang , Dacheng Tao

Deep learning (DL) has recently drawn much attention in image analysis, natural language process, and high-dimensional medical data analysis. Under the causal direct acyclic graph (DAG) interpretation, the input variables without incoming…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia

Discovering causal relationships from time series data is significant in fields such as finance, climate science, and neuroscience. However, contemporary techniques rely on the simplifying assumption that data originates from the same…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Sumanth Varambally , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Causal models seek to unravel the cause-effect relationships among variables from observed data, as opposed to mere mappings among them, as traditional regression models do. This paper introduces a novel causal discovery algorithm designed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Saeed Mohseni-Sehdeh , Walid Saad

Natural dynamical systems, including the brain and climate, are highly nonlinear and complex. Determining information flow among the components that make up these dynamical systems is challenging. If the components are the result of a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-08-26 Claudia Lainscsek , Pariya Salami , Simon Draeger , Sydney S. Cash , Terrence J. Sejnowski

Latent dynamical models are commonly used to learn the distribution of a latent dynamical process that represents a sequence of noisy data samples. However, producing samples from such models with high fidelity is challenging due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Mohammad R. Rezaei

Clustering high-dimensional spatiotemporal data using an unsupervised approach is a challenging problem for many data-driven applications. Existing state-of-the-art methods for unsupervised clustering use different similarity and distance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Omar Faruque , Francis Ndikum Nji , Mostafa Cham , Rohan Mandar Salvi , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

Difference-in-Differences (DiD) is a widely used research design that often relies on a conditional parallel trends (CPT) assumption. In contrast to settings with unconfoundedness, where causal graphs provide powerful frameworks for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-15 Michael C. Knaus , Henri Pfleiderer

Rule-based models, such as decision trees, appeal to practitioners due to their interpretable nature. However, the learning algorithms that produce such models are often vulnerable to spurious associations and thus, they are not guaranteed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Thibaud Godon , Baptiste Bauvin , Pascal Germain , Jacques Corbeil , Alexandre Drouin

Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Ali Caner Turkmen , Yuyang Wang , Tim Januschowski

We demonstrate the possibility of classifying causal systems into kinds that share a common structure without first constructing an explicit dynamical model or using prior knowledge of the system dynamics. The algorithmic ability to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-16 Benjamin C. Jantzen

Air pollution, a pressing global problem, threatens public health, environmental sustainability, and climate stability. Achieving accurate and scalable forecasting across spatially distributed monitoring stations is challenging due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Junxin Lu , Shiliang Sun

Classical machine learning techniques often struggle with overfitting and unreliable predictions when exposed to novel conditions. Introducing causality into the modelling process offers a promising way to mitigate these challenges by…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 David Zapata Gonzalez , Marcel Meyer , Oliver Mueller