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相关论文: Prior Knowledge-enhanced Spatio-temporal Epidemic …

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The Bayesian analysis of infectious disease surveillance data from multiple locations typically involves building and fitting a spatio-temporal model of how the disease spreads in the structured population. Here we present new generally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Matthew Adeoye , Xavier Didelot , Simon EF Spencer

Accurate modeling of human mobility is critical for understanding epidemic spread and deploying timely interventions. In this work, we leverage a large-scale spatio-temporal dataset collected from Peru's national Digital Contact Tracing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Chuan Li , Jiang You , Hassine Moungla , Vincent Gauthier , Miguel Nunez-del-Prado , Hugo Alatrista-Salas

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

The emergence of Covid-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with highly disaggregated spatial and temporal units of analysis, are a priority in this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Jorge Mateu , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

Spatio-temporal traffic forecasting is a core component of intelligent transportation systems, supporting various downstream tasks such as signal control and network-level traffic management. In real-world deployments, forecasting models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Yue Wang , Areg Karapetyan , Djellel Difallah , Samer Madanat

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for effective public health interventions. This study compares Bayesian and Frequentist estimation frameworks within deterministic compartmental epidemic models, focusing on nonlinear least squares…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-09-09 Hamed Karami , Ruiyan Luo , Pejman Sanaei , Gerardo Chowell

The early prediction of sepsis in intensive care unit (ICU) patients is crucial for improving survival rates. However, the development of accurate predictive models is hampered by data fragmentation across healthcare institutions and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Yue Chang , Guangsen Lin , Jyun Jie Chuang , Shunqi Liu , Xinkui Li , Yaozheng Li

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi

Sepsis is a life-threatening infectious syndrome associated with high mortality in intensive care units (ICUs). Early and accurate sepsis prediction (SP) is critical for timely intervention, yet remains challenging due to subtle early…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Zexi Tan , Tao Xie , Binbin Sun , Xiang Zhang , Yiqun Zhang , Yiu-Ming Cheung

Spatial-temporal forecasting and imputation are important for real-world intelligent systems. Most existing methods are tailored for individual forecasting or imputation tasks but are not designed for both. Additionally, they are less…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 YiHeng Huang , Xiaowei Mao , Shengnan Guo , Yubin Chen , Junfeng Shen , Tiankuo Li , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan

Inferring how an epidemic will progress and what actions to take when presented with limited information is of critical importance for epidemiologists and health professionals. In real world settings, epidemiology data can be scarce or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Georgios Efstathiadis

Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

We study the forecasting problem for traffic with dynamic, possibly periodical, and joint spatial-temporal dependency between regions. Given the aggregated inflow and outflow traffic of regions in a city from time slots 0 to t-1, we predict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-05 Guanyao Li , Shuhan Zhong , S. -H. Gary Chan , Ruiyuan Li , Chih-Chieh Hung , Wen-Chih Peng

Temporal human action detection aims to identify and localize action segments within untrimmed videos, serving as a pivotal task in video understanding. Despite the progress achieved by prior architectures like CNN and Transformer models,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Yicheng Qiu , Keiji Yanai

Epidemic data often possess certain characteristics, such as the presence of many zeros, the spatial nature of the disease spread mechanism or environmental noise. This paper addresses these issues via suitable Bayesian modelling. In doing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-10 C. Malesios , N. Demiris , K. Kalogeropoulos , I. Ntzoufras

The COVID-19 epidemic has swept the world for over a year. However, a large number of infectious asymptomatic COVID-19 cases (\textit{ACC}s) are still making the breaking up of the transmission chains very difficult. Efforts by…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Yue Hu , Budhitama Subagdja , Ah-Hwee Tan , Chai Quek , Quanjun Yin

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Existing works typically treat spatial-temporal prediction as the task of learning a function $F$ to transform historical observations to future observations. We further decompose this cross-time transformation into three processes: (1)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Silu He , Peng Shen , Pingzhen Xu , Qinyao Luo , Haifeng Li

In multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting, many deep learning based methods have been proposed for modeling dependencies at multiple spatial (inter-variate) or temporal (intra-variate) scales. However, existing methods may fail to model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Binqing Wu , Jianlong Huang , Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen

Lane segment topology reasoning provides comprehensive bird's-eye view (BEV) road scene understanding, which can serve as a key perception module in planning-oriented end-to-end autonomous driving systems. Existing lane topology reasoning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Yiming Yang , Hongbin Lin , Yueru Luo , Suzhong Fu , Chao Zheng , Xinrui Yan , Shuqi Mei , Kun Tang , Shuguang Cui , Zhen Li