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Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have achieved remarkable success through large-scale pretraining. However, their design primarily targets real-valued series, limiting their ability to handle general forecasting tasks involving diverse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Lu Han , Yu Liu , Lan Li , Qiwen Deng , Jian Jiang , Yinbo Sun , Zhe Yu , Binfeng Wang , Xingyu Lu , Lintao Ma , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently achieved state-of-the-art performance in univariate forecasting on new time series simply by conditioned on a brief history of past values. Their success demonstrates that large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Afrin Dange , Sunita Sarawagi

Dynamic link prediction plays a crucial role in diverse applications including social network analysis, communication forecasting, and financial modeling. While recent Transformer-based approaches have demonstrated promising results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Hantong Feng , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , Wenwu Yu

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved remarkable success in universal forecasting by leveraging large-scale pretraining on diverse time series data. Complementing this progress, incorporating frequency-domain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Shunyu Wu , Jiawei Huang , Weibin Feng , Boxin Li , Xiao Zhang , Erli Meng , Dan Li , Jian Lou , See-Kiong Ng

Time series forecasting, while vital in various applications, often employs complex models that are difficult for humans to understand. Effective explainable AI techniques are crucial to bridging the gap between model predictions and user…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Hongnan Ma , Kevin McAreavey , Weiru Liu

Transformer-based models, despite their promise for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), suffer from an inherent low-pass filtering effect that limits their effectiveness. This issue arises due to undifferentiated propagation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Jingjing Bai , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as financial investment, energy management, weather forecasting, and traffic optimization. However, accurate forecasting is challenging due to two main factors.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Yan Lin , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Deep learning utilizing transformers has recently achieved a lot of success in many vital areas such as natural language processing, computer vision, anomaly detection, and recommendation systems, among many others. Among several merits of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Lena Sasal , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Pre-trained foundation models (FMs) have shown exceptional performance in univariate time series forecasting tasks. However, several practical challenges persist, including managing intricate dependencies among features and quantifying…

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely applied in fields such as transportation, energy, and finance. However, the data commonly suffers from issues of multi-scale characteristics, weak correlations, and noise interference, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Xiang Ao

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

The analysis of multivariate time series data is challenging due to the various frequencies of signal changes that can occur over both short and long terms. Furthermore, standard deep learning models are often unsuitable for such datasets,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Iman Deznabi , Madalina Fiterau

Multivariate time series data provide a robust framework for future predictions by leveraging information across multiple dimensions, ensuring broad applicability in practical scenarios. However, their high dimensionality and mixing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Xuanbing Zhu , Dunbin Shen , Zhongwen Rao , Huiyi Ma , Yingguang Hao , Hongyu Wang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting (IMTSF) is challenging due to non-uniform sampling and variable asynchronicity. These irregularities violate the equidistant assumptions of standard models, hindering local temporal modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Kangjia Yan , Xvyuan Liu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu

In this work we propose for the first time a transformer-based framework for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate time series. Pre-trained models can be potentially used for downstream tasks such as regression and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 George Zerveas , Srideepika Jayaraman , Dhaval Patel , Anuradha Bhamidipaty , Carsten Eickhoff

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting plays a key role in many applications. Recent works have explored using Large Language Models for MTSF to take advantage of their reasoning abilities. However, many methods treat LLMs as end-to-end…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-19 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Yao Wang , Ruijie jian , Xiaorui Wang , Luqi Gong , Yishan Jiang , Chunjie Luo , Jianfeng Zhan

Multivariate time series long-term prediction, which aims to predict the change of data in a long time, can provide references for decision-making. Although transformer-based models have made progress in this field, they usually do not make…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Chengqing Yu , Fei Wang , Zezhi Shao , Tao Sun , Lin Wu , Yongjun Xu
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