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Astrophysically motivated population models for binary black hole observables are often insufficient to capture the imprints of multiple formation channels. This is mainly due to the strongly parametrized nature of such investigations.…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2024-04-05 Anarya Ray , Ignacio Magaña Hernandez , Katelyn Breivik , Jolien Creighton

We combine amortized neural posterior estimation with importance sampling for fast and accurate gravitational-wave inference. We first generate a rapid proposal for the Bayesian posterior using neural networks, and then attach importance…

The determination of the physical parameters of gravitational wave events is a fundamental pillar in the analysis of the signals observed by the current ground-based interferometers. Typically, this is done using Bayesian inference…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2023-11-07 M. Andrés-Carcasona , M. Martinez , Ll. M. Mir

Shortly after a new class of objects is discovered, the attention shifts from the properties of the individual sources to the question of their origin: do all sources come from the same underlying population, or several populations are…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-04-07 Salvatore Vitale , Davide Gerosa , Will M. Farr , Stephen R. Taylor

Inferring the properties of colliding black holes from gravitational-wave observations is subject to systematic errors arising from modelling uncertainties. Although the accuracy of each model can be calculated through comparison to…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2025-08-07 Charlie Hoy , Sarp Akcay , Jake Mac Uilliam , Jonathan E. Thompson

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf

Gravitational waves detected by advanced ground-based detectors have allowed studying the universe in a way which is fully complementary to electromagnetic observations. As more sources are detected, it will be possible to measure…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2018-07-25 Salvatore Vitale , Chris Whittle

Combining multiple events into population analyses is a cornerstone of gravitational-wave astronomy. A critical component of such studies is the assumed population model, which can range from astrophysically motivated functional forms to…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2025-05-21 Cecilia Maria Fabbri , Davide Gerosa , Alessandro Santini , Matthew Mould , Alexandre Toubiana , Jonathan Gair

We report on advances to interpret current and future gravitational-wave events in light of astrophysical simulations. A machine-learning emulator is trained on numerical population-synthesis predictions and inserted into a Bayesian…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2019-10-30 Kaze W. K. Wong , Davide Gerosa

Gravitational wave models are used to infer the properties of black holes in merging binaries from the observed gravitational wave signals through Bayesian inference. Although we have access to a large collection of signal models that are…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2022-10-19 Charlie Hoy

Catalogs of stellar-mass compact binary systems detected by ground-based gravitational-wave instruments (such as Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo) will offer insights into the demographics of progenitor systems and the physics guiding…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2018-10-24 Stephen R. Taylor , Davide Gerosa

In the past few years, approximate Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have demonstrated the ability to produce statistically consistent posteriors on a wide range of inference problems at unprecedented speed and scale. However, any disconnect…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-03-24 Sebastian Wagner-Carena , Ji Won Park , Simon Birrer , Philip J. Marshall , Aaron Roodman , Risa H. Wechsler

The global network of interferometric gravitational wave (GW) observatories (LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA) has detected and characterized nearly 100 mergers of binary compact objects. However, many more real GWs are lurking sub-threshold, which need…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2023-06-28 Jack Heinzel , Colm Talbot , Gregory Ashton , Salvatore Vitale

The growing number of gravitational-wave detections from binary black holes enables increasingly precise measurements of their population properties. The observed population is most likely drawn from multiple formation channels.…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2025-08-28 Storm Colloms , Christopher P L Berry , John Veitch , Michael Zevin

Theoretical studies in gravitational wave astronomy have mostly focused on the information that can be extracted from individual detections, such as the mass of a binary system and its location in space. Here we consider how the information…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2013-05-30 Matthew Adams , Neil Cornish , Tyson Littenberg

The properties of black-hole and neutron-star binaries are extracted from gravitational-wave signals using Bayesian inference. This involves evaluating a multi-dimensional posterior probability function with stochastic sampling. The…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2021-09-29 Virginia D'Emilio , Rhys Green , Vivien Raymond

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful and mathematically transparent framework to tackle hypothesis testing, such as detection tests of gravitational waves emitted during the coalescence of binary systems using ground-based laser…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 John Veitch , Alberto Vecchio

In the streaming data setting, where data arrive continuously or in frequent batches and there is no pre-determined amount of total data, Bayesian models can employ recursive updates, incorporating each new batch of data into the model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-09 Ian Taylor , Andee Kaplan , Brenda Betancourt

Finding and characterizing gravitational waves from individual supermassive black hole binaries is a central goal of pulsar timing array experiments, which will require analysis methods that can be efficient on our rapidly growing datasets.…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-10-28 Bence Bécsy

We present and assess a Bayesian method to interpret gravitational wave signals from binary black holes. Our method directly compares gravitational wave data to numerical relativity simulations. This procedure bypasses approximations used…