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The g-formula can be used to estimate causal effects of sustained treatment strategies using observational data under the identifying assumptions of consistency, positivity, and exchangeability. The non-iterative conditional expectation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Sophia M Rein , Jing Li , Miguel Hernan , Andrew Beam

Comparative evaluation of multiple dynamic treatment policies is essential for healthcare and policy decisions, yet conventional longitudinal causal inference methods estimate each in isolation, preventing information sharing across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Wenxin Chen , Weishen Pan , Kyra Gan , Fei Wang

Inferring the heterogeneous treatment effect is a fundamental problem in the sciences and commercial applications. In this paper, we focus on estimating Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE), that is, the difference in the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-23 Haomiao Meng , Xingye Qiao

We consider the estimation of treatment effects in settings when multiple treatments are assigned over time and treatments can have a causal effect on future outcomes or the state of the treated unit. We propose an extension of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-18 Greg Lewis , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Deep neural networks tend to underestimate uncertainty and produce overly confident predictions. Recently proposed solutions, such as MC Dropout and SDENet, require complex training and/or auxiliary out-of-distribution data. We propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Akib Mashrur , Wei Luo , Nayyar A. Zaidi , Antonio Robles-Kelly

In recent years, the field of precision medicine has seen many advancements. Significant focus has been placed on creating algorithms to estimate individualized treatment rules (ITR), which map from patient covariates to the space of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Kushal S. Shah , Haoda Fu , Michael R. Kosorok

Determining causal effects of interventions onto outcomes from real-world, observational (non-randomized) data, e.g., treatment repurposing using electronic health records, is challenging due to underlying bias. Causal deep learning has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Shantanu Ghosh , Zheng Feng , Jiang Bian , Kevin Butler , Mattia Prosperi

We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

Estimation of individualized treatment effects (ITE) from observational studies is a fundamental problem in causal inference and holds significant importance across domains, including healthcare. However, limited observational datasets pose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Vinod Kumar Chauhan , Jiandong Zhou , Ghadeer Ghosheh , Soheila Molaei , David A. Clifton

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

This study investigates the estimation and the statistical inference about Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATEs), which have garnered attention as a metric representing individualized causal effects. In our data-generating process,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Masahiro Kato

In medical practice, treatments are selected based on the expected causal effects on patient outcomes. Here, the gold standard for estimating causal effects are randomized controlled trials; however, such trials are costly and sometimes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Dennis Frauen , Tobias Hatt , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

This article focuses on making discrete-time Adaptive Iterative Learning Control (ILC) more effective using multiple estimation models. Existing strategies use the tracking error to adjust the parametric estimates. Our strategy uses the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-14 Ram Padmanabhan , Rajini Makam , Koshy George

Deep ensembles perform better than a single network thanks to the diversity among their members. Recent approaches regularize predictions to increase diversity; however, they also drastically decrease individual members' performances. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Alexandre Rame , Matthieu Cord

Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) and dynamic discrete choice (DDC) models explain sequential decision-making by recovering reward functions that rationalize observed behavior. Flexible IRL methods typically rely on machine learning but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Lars van der Laan , Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus

This paper introduces a framework for regression with dimensionally distributed data with a fusion center. A cooperative learning algorithm, the iterative conditional expectation algorithm (ICEA), is designed within this framework. The…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2008-07-22 Haipeng Zheng , Sanjeev R. Kulkarni , H. Vincent Poor

We consider the estimation of the average treatment effect in the treated as a function of baseline covariates, where there is a valid (conditional) instrument. We describe two doubly robust (DR) estimators: a locally efficient g-estimator,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Karla DiazOrdaz , Rhian Daniel , Noemi Kreif

The Doubly Robust (DR) estimation of ATE can be carried out in 2 steps, where in the first step, the treatment and outcome are modeled, and in the second step the predictions are inserted into the DR estimator. The model misspecification in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-03 Mehdi Rostami , Olli Saarela , Michael Escobar

Deep neural networks can be unreliable in the real world when the training set does not adequately cover all the settings where they are deployed. Focusing on image classification, we consider the setting where we have an error distribution…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-21 Sahil Singla , Atoosa Malemir Chegini , Mazda Moayeri , Soheil Feiz

Causal Inference has wide applications in various areas such as E-commerce and precision medicine, and its performance heavily relies on the accurate estimation of the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE). Conventionally, ITE is predicted by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-23 Kailiang Zhong , Fengtong Xiao , Yan Ren , Yaorong Liang , Wenqing Yao , Xiaofeng Yang , Ling Cen
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