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Time series forecasting is crucial in many fields, yet current deep learning models struggle with noise, data sparsity, and capturing complex multi-scale patterns. This paper presents MFF-FTNet, a novel framework addressing these challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-27 Yangyang Shi , Qianqian Ren , Yong Liu , Jianguo Sun

We introduce TFRBench, the first benchmark designed to evaluate the reasoning capabilities of forecasting systems. Traditionally, time-series forecasting has been evaluated solely on numerical accuracy, treating foundation models as ``black…

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently garnered attention for their ability to model complex, large-scale time series data across domains such as retail, finance, and transportation. However, their application to sensitive,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-18 Divij Gupta , Anubhav Bhatti , Surajsinh Parmar

We investigate ensembling techniques in forecasting and examine their potential for use in nonseasonal time-series similar to those in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Developing improved forecast methods is essential as they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Pieter Cawood , Terence L. van Zyl

While existing time series foundation models primarily rely on large-scale unimodal pretraining, they lack complementary modalities to enhance time series understanding. Building multimodal foundation models is a natural next step, but it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Peng Chen , Siyuan Wang , Shiyan Hu , Xingjian Wu , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Meng Wang , Yijie Li , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Using Chronos-2, an open-source time-series foundation model, we evaluate pretrained time-series models for economic and financial forecasting with an emphasis on whether multivariate (MV) inputs improve accuracy relative to univariate (UV)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-25 Sanjiv R Das , Tarang Goyal , Mohini Yadav

The recent surge in foundation models for natural language processing and computer vision has fueled innovation across various domains. Inspired by this progress, we explore the potential of foundation models for time-series forecasting in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Boje Deforce , Bart Baesens , Estefanía Serral Asensio

We introduce TopoPrimer, a framework that makes the global topological structure of the series population an explicit input to any forecasting model. TopoPrimer improves accuracy across diverse domains, stabilizes forecasts under seasonal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Zara Zetlin , Kayhan Moharreri , Maria Safi

Time series modeling and forecasting has fundamental importance to various practical domains. Thus a lot of active research works is going on in this subject during several years. Many important models have been proposed in literature for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

AI models, including both time-series-specific and general-purpose Foundation Models (FMs), have demonstrated strong potential in time-series forecasting across sectors like finance. However, these models are highly sensitive to input…

Time Series Forecasting plays a crucial role in various fields such as industrial equipment maintenance, meteorology, energy consumption, traffic flow and financial investment. However, despite their considerable advantages over traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Kai Wang , Kaiduo Feng , Quangao Liu , Yue Sun , Xiufang Zhou

In the World Wide Web, reliable time series forecasts provide the forward-looking signals that drive resource planning, cache placement, and anomaly response, enabling platforms to operate efficiently as user behavior and content…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Zheya Wang , Hongxiao Li , Yifan Wang , Lei Wang , Chunjie Luo , Jianfeng Zhan

Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

Developing foundation models for time series classification is of high practical relevance, as such models can serve as universal feature extractors for diverse downstream tasks. Although early models such as Mantis have shown the promise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Vasilii Feofanov , Songkang Wen , Jianfeng Zhang , Lujia Pan , Ievgen Redko

Time series forecasting is not just numerical extrapolation, but often requires reasoning with unstructured contextual data such as news or events. While specialized Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at forecasting based on…

Time series data are ubiquitous across diverse real-world applications, making time series analysis critically important. Traditional approaches are largely task-specific, offering limited functionality and poor transferability. In recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Jiexia Ye , Yongzi Yu , Weiqi Zhang , Le Wang , Jia Li , Fugee Tsung

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have emerged as a promising approach for zero-shot financial forecasting, demonstrating strong transferability and data efficiency gains. However, their adoption in financial applications is hindered by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Arundeep Chinta , Lucas Vinh Tran , Jay Katukuri

Motor condition monitoring is essential for ensuring system reliability and preventing catastrophic failures. However, data-driven diagnostic methods often suffer from sparse fault labels and severe class imbalance, which limit their…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-03 Deyu Li , Xinyuan Liao , Shaowei Chen , Shuai Zhao

Pretrained time series models have enabled inference-only forecasting systems that produce accurate predictions without task-specific training. However, existing approaches largely focus on univariate forecasting, limiting their…