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Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers. We argue that this gap arises from a mismatch in the sequence-modeling primitive: while many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Jevon Twitty , Vinh Pham , Nitiwith Rotchanarak , Viresh Pati , Yubin Kim , Shihao Yang , Jiecheng Lu

The rapid adoption of deep learning has increasingly led to data-driven models replacing classical model-based algorithms, even in domains governed by well-understood physical laws. While data-driven models, such as long short-term memory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sooraj Sunil , Balakumar Balasingam

Time series forecasting has recently achieved significant progress with multi-scale models to address the heterogeneity between long and short range patterns. Despite their state-of-the-art performance, we identify two potential areas for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Zihao Wu , Juncheng Dong , Haoming Yang , Vahid Tarokh

This work aims to predict channels in wireless communication systems based on noisy observations, utilizing sequence-to-sequence models with attention (Seq2Seq-attn) and transformer models. Both models are adapted from natural language…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-05 Valentina Rizzello , Benedikt Böck , Michael Joham , Wolfgang Utschick

Transformer-based architectures achieved high performance in natural language processing and computer vision, yet many studies have shown that they have not demonstrated a clear advantage in time series forecasting and even underperform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Zida Liang , Jiayi Zhu , Weiqiang Sun

Although Transformers excel in natural language processing, their extension to time series forecasting remains challenging due to insufficient consideration of the differences between textual and temporal modalities. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Xuan Tang , Baixin Li , Yongsheng Huang , Mingyang Geng , Changsheng Zhang , Bin Zhang , Binwu Wang

Transformer-based models have gained large popularity and demonstrated promising results in long-term time-series forecasting in recent years. In addition to learning attention in time domain, recent works also explore learning attention in…

Noise is usually regarded as adversarial to extract the effective dynamics from time series, such that the conventional data-driven approaches usually aim at learning the dynamics by mitigating the noisy effect. However, noise can have a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-09-12 Zequn Lin , Zhaofan Lu , Zengru Di , Ying Tang

Neural beamformers, which integrate both pre-separation and beamforming modules, have demonstrated impressive effectiveness in target speech extraction. Nevertheless, the performance of these beamformers is inherently limited by the…

声音 · 计算机科学 2023-09-08 Aoqi Guo , Sichong Qian , Baoxiang Li , Dazhi Gao

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

The quadratic complexity of standard attention mechanisms poses a significant scalability bottleneck for large language models (LLMs) in long-context scenarios. While hybrid attention strategies that combine sparse and full attention within…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Zecheng Tang , Quantong Qiu , Yi Yang , Zhiyi Hong , Haiya Xiang , Kebin Liu , Qingqing Dang , Juntao Li , Min Zhang

Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

Transformers are state-of-the-art in a wide range of NLP tasks and have also been applied to many real-world products. Understanding the reliability and certainty of transformer model predictions is crucial for building trustable machine…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Jiahuan Pei , Cheng Wang , György Szarvas

Transformer-based architectures have been the subject of research aimed at understanding their overparameterization and the non-uniform importance of their layers. Applying these approaches to Automatic Speech Recognition, we demonstrate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-07 Lillian Zhou , Dhruv Guliani , Andreas Kabel , Giovanni Motta , Françoise Beaufays

Transformer networks have seen great success in natural language processing and machine vision, where task objectives such as next word prediction and image classification benefit from nuanced context sensitivity across high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Yuxuan Li , James L. McClelland

Transformers are powerful sequence models, but require time and memory that grows quadratically with the sequence length. In this paper we introduce sparse factorizations of the attention matrix which reduce this to $O(n \sqrt{n})$. We also…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-25 Rewon Child , Scott Gray , Alec Radford , Ilya Sutskever

Modern distributed networks, notably transformers, acquire a remarkable ability (termed `in-context learning') to adapt their computation to input statistics, such that a fixed network can be applied to data from a broad range of systems.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Cole Gibson , Wenping Cui , Gautam Reddy