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Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Load forecasting is an integral part of power system operations and planning. Due to the increasing penetration of rooftop PV, electric vehicles and demand response applications, forecasting the load of individual and a small group of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-06-19 Ling Zhang , Baosen Zhang

The scheduling and operation of power system becomes prominently complex and uncertain, especially with the penetration of distributed power. Load forecasting matters to the effective operation of power system. This paper proposes a novel…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-05-10 Tinghui Ouyang , Yusen He , Huajin Li , Zhiyu Sun , Stephen Baek

While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-17 Qiyuan Wang , Zhihui Chen , Chenye Wu

Because of the fast advance rate and the improved personnel safety, tunnel boring machines (TBMs) have been widely used in a variety of tunnel construction projects. The dynamic modeling of TBM load parameters (including torque, advance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-14 Xianjie Gao , Xueguan Song , Maolin Shi , Chao Zhang , Hongwei Zhang

Value-oriented forecasts for two-stage power system operational problems have been demonstrated to reduce cost, but prove to be computationally challenging for large-scale systems because the underlying optimization problem must be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-20 Mehrnoush Ghazanfariharandi , Robert Mieth

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Mingyuan Xia , Chunxu Zhang , Zijian Zhang , Hao Miao , Qidong Liu , Yuanshao Zhu , Bo Yang

This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

In the electric system, extreme weather events can cause trips or physical damage to transmission lines, leading to large-scale load shedding. To mitigate power shedding, we propose a framework that pre-positions the commitment of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-07 Yongzheng Dai , Antonio J. Conejo , Feng Qiu

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

In recent work on time-series prediction, Transformers and even large language models have garnered significant attention due to their strong capabilities in sequence modeling. However, in practical deployments, time-series prediction often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Wenxuan Xie , Fanpu Cao

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-23 Xin Shi

We consider the problem of forecasting multiple values of the future of a vector time series, using some past values. This problem, and related ones such as one-step-ahead prediction, have a very long history, and there are a number of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-01 Shane Barratt , Yining Dong , Stephen Boyd

Precise load forecasting in buildings could increase the bill savings potential and facilitate optimized strategies for power generation planning. With the rapid evolution of computer science, data-driven techniques, in particular the Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-30 Menna Nawar , Moustafa Shomer , Samy Faddel , Huangjie Gong

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

Time series, typically represented as numerical sequences, can also be transformed into images and texts, offering multi-modal views (MMVs) of the same underlying signal. These MMVs can reveal complementary patterns and enable the use of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 ChengAo Shen , Wenchao Yu , Ziming Zhao , Dongjin Song , Wei Cheng , Haifeng Chen , Jingchao Ni

Forecasting multivariate time series is a computationally intensive task challenged by extreme or redundant samples. Recent resampling methods aim to increase training efficiency by reweighting samples based on their running losses.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Time series forecasting is an important yet challenging task. Though deep learning methods have recently been developed to give superior forecasting results, it is crucial to improve the interpretability of time series models. Previous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Qingyi Pan , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu