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相关论文: Effect-Level Validation for Causal Discovery

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Conducting experiments to estimate total effects can be challenging due to cost, ethical concerns, or practical limitations. As an alternative, researchers often rely on causal graphs to determine whether these effects can be identified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Charles K. Assaad

We investigate the estimation of the causal effect of a treatment variable on an outcome in the presence of a latent confounder. We first show that the causal effect is identifiable under certain conditions when data is available from…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Yaroslav Kivva , Sina Akbari , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

We study the data-driven selection of causal graphical models using constraint-based algorithms, which determine the existence or non-existence of edges (causal connections) in a graph based on testing a series of conditional independence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Daniel Malinsky

Hypergraphs provide an effective abstraction for modeling multi-way group interactions among nodes, where each hyperedge can connect any number of nodes. Different from most existing studies which leverage statistical dependencies, we study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Jing Ma , Mengting Wan , Longqi Yang , Jundong Li , Brent Hecht , Jaime Teevan

Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

There are several existing algorithms that under appropriate assumptions can reliably identify a subset of the underlying causal relationships from observational data. This paper introduces the first computationally feasible score-based…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Subramani Mani , Peter L. Spirtes , Gregory F. Cooper

We propose a novel machine learning approach for inferring causal variables of a target variable from observations. Our focus is on directly inferring a set of causal factors without requiring full causal graph reconstruction, which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Jang-Hyun Kim , Claudia Skok Gibbs , Sangdoo Yun , Hyun Oh Song , Kyunghyun Cho

Machine learning algorithms are designed to capture complex relationships between features. In this context, the high dimensionality of data often results in poor model performance, with the risk of overfitting. Feature selection, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Paolo Bonetti , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

Estimating causal effects under networked interference from observational data is a crucial yet challenging problem. Most existing methods mainly rely on the networked unconfoundedness assumption, which guarantees the identification of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Jie Qiao , Yuguang Yan , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Causal structure discovery from observations can be improved by integrating background knowledge provided by an expert to reduce the hypothesis space. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have begun to be considered as sources of prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Victor-Alexandru Darvariu , Stephen Hailes , Mirco Musolesi

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal effect estimation from observational data is an important and much studied research topic. The instrumental variable (IV) and local causal discovery (LCD) patterns are canonical examples of settings where a closed-form expression…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-19 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

Causal discovery aims to recover graphs that represent causal relations among given variables from observations, and new methods are constantly being proposed. Increasingly, the community raises questions about how much progress is made,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Zhufeng Li , Niki Kilbertus

Causal games are probabilistic graphical models that enable causal queries to be answered in multi-agent settings. They extend causal Bayesian networks by specifying decision and utility variables to represent the agents' degrees of freedom…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Manuj Mishra , James Fox , Michael Wooldridge

The long-standing identification problem for causal effects in graphical models has many partial results but lacks a systematic study. We show how computer algebra can be used to either prove that a causal effect can be identified,…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-07-23 Luis David García-Puente , Sarah Spielvogel , Seth Sullivant

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation as gaming and attempted to mitigate its effects,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-19 John Miller , Smitha Milli , Moritz Hardt

Going beyond correlations, the understanding and identification of causal relationships in observational time series, an important subfield of Causal Discovery, poses a major challenge. The lack of access to a well-defined ground truth for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Andrew R. Lawrence , Marcus Kaiser , Rui Sampaio , Maksim Sipos

A fundamental challenge in the empirical sciences involves uncovering causal structure through observation and experimentation. Causal discovery entails linking the conditional independence (CI) invariances in observational data to their…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Zihan Zhou , Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Murat Kocaoglu

Identifying variables responsible for changes to a biological system enables applications in drug target discovery and cell engineering. Given a pair of observational and interventional datasets, the goal is to isolate the subset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Menghua Wu , Umesh Padia , Sean H. Murphy , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola