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We consider the problem of function estimation in the case where the data distribution may shift between training and test time, and additional information about it may be available at test time. This relates to popular scenarios such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-06-05 Bernhard Schölkopf , Dominik Janzing , Jonas Peters , Kun Zhang

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is known in practice to be non-robust to distributional shift where the training and the test distributions are different. A suite of approaches, such as importance weighting, and variants of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Runtian Zhai , Chen Dan , Zico Kolter , Pradeep Ravikumar

We study the risk performance of distributed learning for the regularization empirical risk minimization with fast convergence rate, substantially improving the error analysis of the existing divide-and-conquer based distributed learning.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-21 Yong Liu , Jian Li , Weiping Wang

We study square loss in a realizable time-series framework with martingale difference noise. Our main result is a fast rate excess risk bound which shows that whenever a trajectory hypercontractivity condition holds, the risk of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu

Optimal a priori estimates are derived for the population risk, also known as the generalization error, of a regularized residual network model. An important part of the regularized model is the usage of a new path norm, called the weighted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-03 Weinan E , Chao Ma , Qingcan Wang

In recent years, there has been a significant growth in research focusing on minimum $\ell_2$ norm (ridgeless) interpolation least squares estimators. However, the majority of these analyses have been limited to an unrealistic regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-14 Sungyoon Lee , Sokbae Lee

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

We consider the problem of state estimation in general state-space models using variational inference. For a generic variational family defined using the same backward decomposition as the actual joint smoothing distribution, we establish…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Mathis Chagneux , Élisabeth Gassiat , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff

A pervasive phenomenon in machine learning applications is distribution shift, where training and deployment conditions for a machine learning model differ. As distribution shift typically results in a degradation in performance, much…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-23 Philip Amortila , Tongyi Cao , Akshay Krishnamurthy

Distributional shift is one of the major obstacles when transferring machine learning prediction systems from the lab to the real world. To tackle this problem, we assume that variation across training domains is representative of the…

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

While a broad range of techniques have been proposed to tackle distribution shift, the simple baseline of training on an $\textit{undersampled}$ balanced dataset often achieves close to state-of-the-art-accuracy across several popular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Niladri S. Chatterji , Saminul Haque , Tatsunori Hashimoto

Weighting methods are widely used to adjust for covariates in observational studies, sample surveys, and regression settings. In this paper, we study a class of recently proposed weighting methods which find the weights of minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Yixin Wang , José R. Zubizarreta

In this work, we analyze the generalization ability of distributed online learning algorithms under stationary and non-stationary environments. We derive bounds for the excess-risk attained by each node in a connected network of learners…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-07-19 Zaid J. Towfic , Jianshu Chen , Ali H. Sayed

We study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) based on an entropic risk measure in episodic non-stationary Markov decision processes (MDPs). Both the reward functions and the state transition kernels are unknown and allowed to vary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-22 Yuhao Ding , Ming Jin , Javad Lavaei

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved empirical success in various domains. One core task in DRL is distributional policy evaluation, which involves estimating the return distribution $\eta^\pi$ for a given policy $\pi$.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Yang Peng , Liangyu Zhang , Zhihua Zhang

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

We consider a regression setting where observations are collected in different environments modeled by different data distributions. The field of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization aims to design methods that generalize better to test…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Francesco Freni , Anya Fries , Linus Kühne , Markus Reichstein , Jonas Peters

We develop a versatile framework for statistical learning in non-stationary environments. In each time period, our approach applies a stability principle to select a look-back window that maximizes the utilization of historical data while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Ridge regression with random coefficients provides an important alternative to fixed coefficients regression in high dimensional setting when the effects are expected to be small but not zeros. This paper considers estimation and prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Hongzhe Zhang , Hongzhe Li