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The reliable integration of wind energy into modern-day electricity systems heavily relies on accurate short-term wind forecasts. We propose a spatio-temporal model called AIRU-WRF (short for the AI-powered Rutgers University Weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-31 Feng Ye , Joseph Brodie , Travis Miles , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

As the climate changes, the severity of wildland fires is expected to worsen. Models that accurately capture fire propagation dynamics greatly help efforts for understanding, responding to and mitigating the damages caused by these fires.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-12 John Burge , Matthew Bonanni , Matthias Ihme , Lily Hu

The wind is one of the most increasingly used renewable energy resources. Accurate and reliable forecast of wind speed is necessary for efficient power production; however, it is not an easy task because it depends upon meteorological…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-23 Aqsa Saeed Qureshi , Asifullah Khan , Muhammad Waleed Khan

Probabilistic wind power forecasting approaches have significantly advanced in recent decades. However, forecasters often assume data completeness and overlook the challenge of missing values resulting from sensor failures, network…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Honglin Wen

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for designing and selecting sites for offshore wind farms. This paper investigates the effectiveness of various machine learning models in predicting offshore wind power for a site near the Gulf of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-19 Linhan Fang , Fan Jiang , Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

This paper addresses the challenges of mining latent patterns and modeling contextual dependencies in complex sequence data. A sequence pattern mining algorithm is proposed by integrating Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Tao Yang , Yu Cheng , Yaokun Ren , Yujia Lou , Minggu Wei , Honghui Xin

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

Accurate traffic prediction is vital for effective traffic management during hurricane evacuation. This paper proposes a predictive modeling system that integrates Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Qinhua Jiang , Brian Yueshuai He , Changju Lee , Jiaqi Ma

Reliable probabilistic production forecasts are required to better manage the uncertainty that the rapid build-out of wind power capacity adds to future energy systems. In this article, we consider sequential methods to correct errors in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Bastian Schmidt Jørgensen , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Peter Nystrup , Henrik Madsen

In the field of numerical weather prediction (NWP), the probabilistic distribution of the future state of the atmosphere is sampled with Monte-Carlo-like simulations, called ensembles. These ensembles have deficiencies (such as conditional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-08 Michaël Zamo , Liliane Bel , Olivier Mestre

With an increasing emphasis on driving down the costs of Operations and Maintenance (O&M) in the Offshore Wind (OSW) sector, comes the requirement to explore new methodology and applications of Deep Learning (DL) to the domain.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-27 Connor Walker , Callum Rothon , Koorosh Aslansefat , Yiannis Papadopoulos , Nina Dethlefs

Building an accurate load forecasting model with minimal underpredictions is vital to prevent any undesired power outages due to underproduction of electricity. However, the power consumption patterns of the residential sector contain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Jihan Ghanim , Maha Issa , Mariette Awad

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…

Accurate EV power estimation underpins range prediction and energy management, yet practitioners need both point accuracy and trustworthy uncertainty. We propose an anchored-ensemble Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with a Student-t likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Ghazal Farhani , Taufiq Rahman , Kieran Humphries

Wind power prediction, especially for turbines, is vital for the operation, controllability, and economy of electricity companies. Hybrid methodologies combining advanced data science with weather forecasting have been incrementally applied…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Hao Chen

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

We present federated momentum contrastive clustering (FedMCC), a learning framework that can not only extract discriminative representations over distributed local data but also perform data clustering. In FedMCC, a transformed data pair…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Runxuan Miao , Erdem Koyuncu

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

Ensemble methods are among the state-of-the-art predictive modeling approaches. Applied to modern big data, these methods often require a large number of sub-learners, where the complexity of each learner typically grows with the size of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-29 Amichai Painsky , Saharon Rosset