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Linearly constrained multiple time series may be encountered in many practical contexts, such as the National Accounts (e.g., GDP disaggregated by Income, Expenditure and Output), and multilevel frameworks where the variables are organized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-05 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

Recently, large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated powerful capabilities in performing various tasks and thus are applied by recent studies to time series forecasting (TSF) tasks, which predict future values with the given historical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Qinyu Liu , Jun Zhang , Yan Song

Autoregressive language models are constrained by their inherently sequential nature, generating one token at a time. This paradigm limits inference speed and parallelism, especially during later stages of generation when the direction and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Mohammad Samragh , Arnav Kundu , David Harrison , Kumari Nishu , Devang Naik , Minsik Cho , Mehrdad Farajtabar

Large language models (LLMs) have become ubiquitous in practice and are widely used for generation tasks such as translation, summarization and instruction following. However, their enormous size and reliance on autoregressive decoding…

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

In recent years, financial institutions and firms have increasingly adopted synthetic data to address data scarcity and to generate counterfactual market scenarios. However, reproducing all the statistical properties of financial time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Giuseppe Masi , Andrea Coletta , Novella Bartolini

Recent Continual Learning (CL)-based Temporal Knowledge Graph Reasoning (TKGR) methods focus on significantly reducing computational cost and mitigating catastrophic forgetting caused by fine-tuning models with new data. However, existing…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-06-05 Zhiyu Zhang , Wei Chen , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan

We formalize networks with evolving structures as temporal networks and propose a generative link prediction model, Generative Link Sequence Modeling (GLSM), to predict future links for temporal networks. GLSM captures the temporal link…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-28 Yue Wang , Chenwei Zhang , Shen Wang , Philip S. Yu , Lu Bai , Lixin Cui , Guandong Xu

Correlated time series (CTS) forecasting plays an essential role in many practical applications, such as traffic management and server load control. Many deep learning models have been proposed to improve the accuracy of CTS forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Zhichen Lai , Dalin Zhang , Huan Li , Christian S. Jensen , Hua Lu , Yan Zhao

ContextVis introduces a workflow by integrating generative models to create contextual learning materials. It aims to boost knowledge acquisition through the creation of resources with contextual cues. A case study on vocabulary learning…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Bo Shui , Chufan Shi , Yujiu Yang , Xiaomei Nie

The development of web-based geospatial dashboards for risk analysis and decision support is often challenged by the difficulty in visualization of big, multi-dimensional environmental data, implementation complexity, and limited…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Haowen Xu , Jose Tupayachi , Xiao-Ying Yu

Due to their ability to process long and complex contexts, LLMs can offer key benefits to the Legal domain, but their adoption has been hindered by their tendency to generate unfaithful, ungrounded, or hallucinatory outputs. While…

Given real-time sensor data streams obtained from machines, how can we continuously predict when a machine failure will occur? This work aims to continuously forecast the timing of future events by analyzing multi-sensor data streams. A key…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Kota Nakamura , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Forecasting future world events is a challenging but valuable task. Forecasts of climate, geopolitical conflict, pandemics and economic indicators help shape policy and decision making. In these domains, the judgment of expert humans…

Next token prediction has been the standard training objective used in large language model pretraining. Representations are learned as a result of optimizing for token-level perplexity. We propose Continuous Concept Mixing (CoCoMix), a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Jihoon Tack , Jack Lanchantin , Jane Yu , Andrew Cohen , Ilia Kulikov , Janice Lan , Shibo Hao , Yuandong Tian , Jason Weston , Xian Li

Generative models have gained significant attention in multivariate time series forecasting (MTS), particularly due to their ability to generate high-fidelity samples. Forecasting the probability distribution of multivariate time series is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Shibo Feng , Peilin Zhao , Liu Liu , Pengcheng Wu , Zhiqi Shen

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models now surpass state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction systems, but training and operating these models at high spatial resolution remains computationally expensive. We present a modular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Aymeric Delefosse , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

The Neural Contextual Reinforcement Framework introduces an innovative approach to enhancing the logical coherence and structural consistency of text generated by large language models. Leveraging reinforcement learning principles, the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Marcus Irvin , William Cooper , Edward Hughes , Jessica Morgan , Christopher Hamilton

Time series analysis provides essential insights for real-world system dynamics and informs downstream decision-making, yet most existing methods often overlook the rich contextual signals present in auxiliary modalities. To bridge this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Yushan Jiang , Wenchao Yu , Geon Lee , Dongjin Song , Kijung Shin , Wei Cheng , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir