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The principles of statistical mechanics and information theory play an important role in learning and have inspired both theory and the design of numerous machine learning algorithms. The new aspect in this paper is a focus on integrating…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Susanne Still

This paper studies the problem of globally optimizing a variable of interest that is part of a causal model in which a sequence of interventions can be performed. This problem arises in biology, operational research, communications and,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Virginia Aglietti , Xiaoyu Lu , Andrei Paleyes , Javier González

Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Christos Louizos , Uri Shalit , Joris Mooij , David Sontag , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

Causal structure learning is a key problem in many domains. Causal structures can be learnt by performing experiments on the system of interest. We address the largely unexplored problem of designing a batch of experiments that each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-25 Scott Sussex , Andreas Krause , Caroline Uhler

Computer experiments with both qualitative and quantitative factors are widely used in many applications. Motivated by the emerging need of optimal configuration in the high-performance computing (HPC) system, this work proposes a…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 Xia Cai , Li Xu , C. Devon Lin , Yili Hong , Xinwei Deng

For three natural classes of dynamic decision problems; 1. additively separable problems, 2. discounted problems, and 3. discounted problems for a fixed discount factor; we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for one sequential…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-24 Mark Whitmeyer , Cole Williams

Sound educational policy recommendations require valid estimates of causal effects, but observational studies in physics education research sometimes have loosely specified causal hypotheses. The connections between the observational data…

物理教育 · 物理学 2021-09-22 M. B. Weissman

Transforming a causal system from a given initial state to a desired target state is an important task permeating multiple fields including control theory, biology, and materials science. In causal models, such transformations can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Jiaqi Zhang , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

Discrete Choice Experiments (DCEs) investigate participants' preferences by observing their choice behavior in hypothetical scenarios and are widely used in the domain of healthcare. To reduce participants' cognitive burden, especially when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Yicheng Mao , Roselinde Kessels

Undertaking causal inference with observational data is incredibly useful across a wide range of tasks including the development of medical treatments, advertisements and marketing, and policy making. There are two significant challenges…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Matthew James Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Non-parametric episodic memory can be used to quickly latch onto high-rewarded experience in reinforcement learning tasks. In contrast to parametric deep reinforcement learning approaches in which reward signals need to be back-propagated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Zhao Yang , Thomas M. Moerland , Mike Preuss , Aske Plaat

One of the common ways children learn is by mimicking adults. Imitation learning focuses on learning policies with suitable performance from demonstrations generated by an expert, with an unspecified performance measure, and unobserved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-15 Junzhe Zhang , Daniel Kumor , Elias Bareinboim

Typical models of learning assume incremental estimation of continuously-varying decision variables like expected rewards. However, this class of models fails to capture more idiosyncratic, discrete heuristics and strategies that people and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Carlos G. Correa , Thomas L. Griffiths , Nathaniel D. Daw

Counterfactual Explanations (CFEs) interpret machine learning models by identifying the smallest change to input features needed to change the model's prediction to a desired output. For classification tasks, CFEs determine how close a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Margarita A. Guerrero , Cristian R. Rojas

In social sciences and economics, causal inference traditionally focuses on assessing the impact of predefined treatments (or interventions) on predefined outcomes, such as the effect of education programs on earnings. Causal discovery, in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-12 Martin Huber

Reinforcement learning algorithms rely on exploration to discover new behaviors, which is typically achieved by following a stochastic policy. In continuous control tasks, policies with a Gaussian distribution have been widely adopted.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-28 Dmytro Korenkevych , A. Rupam Mahmood , Gautham Vasan , James Bergstra

Consequential decision-making incentivizes individuals to strategically adapt their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. While a long line of work has viewed strategic adaptation as gaming and attempted to mitigate its effects,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-19 John Miller , Smitha Milli , Moritz Hardt

The paper focuses on identifying the causes of student performance to provide personalized recommendations for improving pass rates. We introduce the need to move beyond predictive models and instead identify causal relationships. We…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Bevan I. Smith

The discovery of causal relationships is a foundational problem in artificial intelligence, statistics, epidemiology, economics, and beyond. While elegant theories exist for accurate causal discovery given infinite data, real-world…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Mian Wei , Somesh Jha , David Page

An autonomous experimentation platform in manufacturing is supposedly capable of conducting a sequential search for finding suitable manufacturing conditions by itself or even for discovering new materials with minimal human intervention.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Imtiaz Ahmed , Satish Bukkapatnam , Bhaskar Botcha , Yu Ding