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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) demonstrate impressive zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. However, an important yet underexplored challenge is how to effectively finetune TSFMs on specific downstream tasks. While naive…

Planning based on long and short term time series forecasts is a common practice across many industries. In this context, temporal aggregation and reconciliation techniques have been useful in improving forecasts, reducing model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently shown exceptional potential in time series forecasting, leveraging their inherent sequential reasoning capabilities to model complex temporal dynamics. However, existing approaches typically employ…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Xingyu Zhang , Hanyun Du , Zeen Song , Jianqi Zhang , Changwen Zheng , Wenwen Qiang

Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

Despite the recent success of large language models (LLMs) in time-series forecasting, most existing methods still adopt a Deep Synchronous Fusion strategy, where dense interactions between textual and temporal features are enforced at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Fan Zhang , Shiming Fan , Hua Wang

This study focuses on long-term forecasting (LTF) on continuous-time dynamic graph networks (CTDGNs), which is important for real-world modeling. Existing CTDGNs are effective for modeling temporal graph data due to their ability to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yuxing Tian , Mingjie Zhu , Jiachi Luo , Song Li

Recent advances have investigated the use of pretrained large language models (LLMs) for time-series forecasting by aligning numerical inputs with LLM embedding spaces. However, existing multimodal approaches often overlook the distinct…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Suchan Lee , Jihoon Choi , Sohyeon Lee , Minseok Song , Bong-Gyu Jang , Hwanjo Yu , Soyeon Caren Han

Multivariate time-series forecasting is vital in various domains, e.g., economic planning and weather prediction. Deep train-from-scratch models have exhibited effective performance yet require large amounts of data, which limits real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Ching Chang , Wei-Yao Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen

Foundation models have achieved remarkable success in natural language processing and computer vision, demonstrating strong capabilities in modeling complex patterns. While recent efforts have explored adapting large language models (LLMs)…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Changlu Chen , Yanbin Liu , Chaoxi Niu , Ling Chen , Tianqing Zhu

In the user growth scenario, Internet companies invest heavily in paid acquisition channels to acquire new users. But sustainable growth depends on acquired users' generating lifetime value (LTV) exceeding customer acquisition cost (CAC).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Yibing Wan , Zhengxiong Guan , Chaoli Zhang , Xiaoyang Li , Lai Xu , Beibei Jia , Zhenzhe Zheng , Fan Wu

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

Recent studies have shown that by introducing prior knowledge, multi-scale analysis of complex and non-stationary time series in real environments can achieve good results in the field of long-term forecasting. However, affected by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Bin Wang , Heming Yang , Jinfang Sheng

The decline in interest rates and economic stabilization has heightened the importance of accurate mortality rate forecasting, particularly in insurance and pension markets. Multi-step-ahead predictions are crucial for public health,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Filipe C. L. Duarte , Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto , Paulo R. A. Firmino

While LLMs have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series forecasting, their practical deployment remains constrained by excessive computational demands and memory footprints. Existing LLM-based approaches typically suffer from three…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Haoran Fan , Bin Li , Yixuan Weng , Shoujun Zhou

The forecast on a time scale of 1 or 2 hours is crucial for all kind of new generation facilities (ELTs) instrumentation supported by the adaptive optics that will be mainly operated in Service Mode. In a recent study (Masciadri et al.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-08-08 Elena Masciadri , Alessio Turchi , Luca Fini

As Transformer-based models have achieved impressive performance on various time series tasks, Long-Term Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks have also received extensive attention in recent years. However, due to the inherent computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan , Xiaoyan Ma , Dongyang Li , Minggao Zhang

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) are characterized by uneven intervals between consecutive timestamps, which carry sampling pattern information valuable and informative for learning temporal and variable dependencies. In addition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Boyuan Li , Zhen Liu , Yicheng Luo , Qianli Ma

Multivariate Time series forecasting is crucial in domains such as transportation, meteorology, and finance, especially for predicting extreme weather events. State-of-the-art methods predominantly rely on Transformer architectures, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Li Wu , Wenbin Pei , Jiulong Jiao , Qiang Zhang