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Automated model selection is often proposed to users to choose which machine learning model (or method) to apply to a given regression task. In this paper, we show that combining different regression models can yield better results than…

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Proper scoring rules are used to assess the out-of-sample accuracy of probabilistic forecasts, with different scoring rules rewarding distinct aspects of forecast performance. Herein, we re-investigate the practice of using proper scoring…

Policy optimization methods have shown great promise in solving complex reinforcement and imitation learning tasks. While model-free methods are broadly applicable, they often require many samples to optimize complex policies. Model-based…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-11-23 Daniel Levy , Stefano Ermon

Many decision processes in artificial intelligence and operations research are modeled by parametric optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize (PtO)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 My H Dinh , James Kotary , Ferdinando Fioretto

In this short technical note we propose a baseline for decision-aware learning for contextual linear optimization, which solves stochastic linear optimization when cost coefficients can be predicted based on context information. We propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-10 Connor Lawless , Angela Zhou

End to end (E2E) autonomous driving trajectory prediction is often trained with camera frames sampled at the highest available temporal frequency, assuming that denser sampling improves performance. We question this assumption by treating…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Yumao Liu , Tao Liu , Xiangyu Li , Jiaxiang Li , Ke Ma

Current methods for end-to-end constructive neural combinatorial optimization usually train a policy using behavior cloning from expert solutions or policy gradient methods from reinforcement learning. While behavior cloning is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Jonathan Pirnay , Dominik G. Grimm

Optimal decision-making presents a significant challenge for autonomous systems operating in uncertain, stochastic and time-varying environments. Environmental variability over time can significantly impact the system's optimal decision…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Gokul Puthumanaillam , Xiangyu Liu , Negar Mehr , Melkior Ornik

In decision-making under uncertainty, several criteria have been studied to aggregate the performance of a solution over multiple possible scenarios. This paper introduces a novel variant of ordered weighted averaging (OWA) for optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-30 Werner Baak , Marc Goerigk , Adam Kasperski , Paweł Zieliński

We consider stochastic optimization problems which use observed data to estimate essential characteristics of the random quantities involved. Sample average approximation (SAA) or empirical (plug-in) estimation are very popular ways to use…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-16 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin

Increasingly demanding performance requirements for dynamical systems motivates the adoption of nonlinear and adaptive control techniques. One challenge is the nonlinearity of the resulting closed-loop system complicates verification that…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

This paper proposes a novel distributed optimization framework that addresses time-varying optimization problems without requiring explicit derivative information of the objective functions. Traditional distributed methods often rely on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-29 Xuebin Li , Xuefei Yang , Emilia Fridman , Mamadou Diagne , Jiebao Sun

We discuss kinetic-based particle optimization methods and variable-sample strategies for problems where the cost function represents the expected value of a random mapping. Kinetic-based optimization methods rely on a consensus mechanism…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-08 Sabrina Bonandin , Michael Herty

A key advance in learning generative models is the use of amortized inference distributions that are jointly trained with the models. We find that existing training objectives for variational autoencoders can lead to inaccurate amortized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-31 Shengjia Zhao , Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

In this paper, we introduce a quantum-enhanced algorithm for simulation-based optimization. Simulation-based optimization seeks to optimize an objective function that is computationally expensive to evaluate exactly, and thus, is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-03-08 Julien Gacon , Christa Zoufal , Stefan Woerner

We consider the optimal decision-making problem in a primary sample of interest with multiple auxiliary sources available. The outcome of interest is limited in the sense that it is only observed in the primary sample. In reality, such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Hengrui Cai , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

While model-based verifiers are essential for scaling Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), current outcome-centric verification paradigms primarily focus on the consistency between the final result and the ground truth,…

In this paper, we formalise order-robust optimisation as an instance of online learning minimising simple regret, and propose Vroom, a zero'th order optimisation algorithm capable of achieving vanishing regret in non-stationary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-23 Victor Gabillon , Rasul Tutunov , Michal Valko , Haitham Bou Ammar