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Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

The expansion of the low-altitude economy has underscored the significance of Low-Altitude Network Coverage (LANC) prediction for designing aerial corridors. While accurate LANC forecasting hinges on the antenna beam patterns of Base…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Xiaojie Li , Zhijie Cai , Nan Qi , Chao Dong , Guangxu Zhu , Haixia Ma , Qihui Wu , Shi Jin

Test-time adaptation (TTA) is a task that continually adapts a pre-trained source model to the target domain during inference. One popular approach involves fine-tuning model with cross-entropy loss according to estimated pseudo-labels.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-26 Guowei Wang , Changxing Ding , Wentao Tan , Mingkui Tan

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for ensuring the robustness of machine learning models by identifying samples that deviate from the training distribution. While traditional OOD detection has primarily focused on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Shawn Li , Huixian Gong , Hao Dong , Tiankai Yang , Zhengzhong Tu , Yue Zhao

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Mingyuan Xia , Chunxu Zhang , Zijian Zhang , Hao Miao , Qidong Liu , Yuanshao Zhu , Bo Yang

Deep learning models, particularly Transformers, have achieved impressive results in various domains, including time series forecasting. While existing time series literature primarily focuses on model architecture modifications and data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Valentino Assandri , Sam Heshmati , Burhaneddin Yaman , Anton Iakovlev , Ariel Emiliano Repetur

Understanding relationships between feature variables is one important way humans use to make decisions. However, state-of-the-art deep learning studies either focus on task-agnostic statistical dependency learning or do not model explicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-04 Arshdeep Sekhon , Zhe Wang , Yanjun Qi

Deep neural networks have demonstrated their ability to automatically extract meaningful features from data. However, in supervised learning, information specific to the dataset used for training, but irrelevant to the task at hand, may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 David Bertoin , Emmanuel Rachelson

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a widely used data-driven algorithm for predicting the future states of dynamical systems. However, its standard formulation often struggles with poor long-term predictive accuracy. To address this…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-23 Qiuqi Li , Chang Liu , Yifei Yang

We present differentiable predictive control (DPC), a method for learning constrained neural control policies for linear systems with probabilistic performance guarantees. We employ automatic differentiation to obtain direct policy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-28 Jan Drgona , Aaron Tuor , Draguna Vrabie

Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) have recently achieved significant success due to their any-order generation capabilities. However, existing inference methods typically rely on local, immediate-step metrics such as confidence or entropy…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Kecheng Chen , Ziru Liu , Xijia Tao , Hui Liu , Xinyu Fu , Suiyun Zhang , Dandan Tu , Lingpeng Kong , Rui Liu , Haoliang Li

Unsupervised representation learning for dynamic graphs has attracted a lot of research attention in recent years. Compared with static graph, the dynamic graph is a comprehensive embodiment of both the intrinsic stable characteristics of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Kaike Zhang , Qi Cao , Gaolin Fang , Bingbing Xu , Hongjian Zou , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng

We present Distribution-aware Conformal Prediction (DCP), a unified framework integrating probabilistic predictors like Monte Carlo dropout, deep ensembles, and quantile regression with score-agnostic conformal calibration to produce valid…

Time series anomaly detection plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Existing methods require training one specific model for each dataset, which exhibits limited generalization capability across different target datasets,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Qichao Shentu , Beibu Li , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Representation learning on dynamic graphs requires capturing complex dependencies that evolve across both time and structure. Existing approaches typically adopt fixed temporal decay schemes or predetermined structural propagation depths,…

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Multi-class anomaly detection aims to build unified models across diverse product categories. However, as the number of categories grows, its performance often degrades due to increasingly complex and heterogeneous normal distributions. To…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Yaoxuan Feng , Yuxin Li , Weijiang Lv , Zixuan Zhao , Yubiao Wang , Wenchao Chen , Bo Chen , Hongwei Liu